{"generatedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z","asOfLaborMarket":"June 2026","asOfPopulation":"2025","sources":[{"id":"bls","name":"Bureau of Labor Statistics (LAUS + CES)","url":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/","notes":"Monthly state and metro labor market + payroll employment series.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"wser_floridacommerce","name":"FloridaCommerce WSER (Bureau of Workforce Statistics & Economic Research)","url":"https://floridajobs.org/wser-home/about-wser","notes":"State of Florida bureau: monthly LAUS/CES employment, unemployment, and labor-force releases plus QCEW wages and OEWS. Authoritative Florida-native source.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"census_population","name":"U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates (via FRED FLPOP)","url":"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FLPOP","notes":"Annual Florida resident population (source notes cite U.S. Census Bureau).","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"fred_innovation","name":"FRED state innovation/development indicators","url":"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/","notes":"Business applications and real gross state product series used for innovation/economic development tab.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"federal_data_spine","name":"Federal data spine feed contract","url":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/","notes":"Source-aware API contract for BLS, Census, BEA, EIA, and IRS feeds, including live status, key requirements, and safe fallbacks.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"selectflorida_exports","name":"FloridaCommerce / SelectFlorida - 2025 Export Sales Release","url":"https://www.floridajobs.org/news-center/DEO-Press/floridacommerce-press-2026/2026/04/01/florida-businesses-set-record-high-export-sales-in-2025","notes":"Official 4/1/2026 release: Florida Businesses Set Record High Export Sales in 2025 ($78.9B). Powers International Trade tab.","classification":"official_announcement"},{"id":"florida_governor_press_office","name":"Florida Governor's Office","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/","notes":"Official executive announcements used for state-backed economic development wins, capital investment, and project-level source links.","classification":"official_announcement"},{"id":"florida_scorecard","name":"Florida Scorecard / Florida Chamber Foundation","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/","notes":"Statewide 2030 trajectory metrics including GDP, business startups, income migration, and FutureCast job needs.","classification":"industry_research"},{"id":"florida_chamber_income_migration","name":"Florida Chamber Foundation Income Migration Analysis","url":"https://www.flchamber.com/breaking-news-income-migration-to-florida-remains-above-4m-per-hour-significantly-more-than-any-other-state/","notes":"Canonical public frame for Florida Brain and eMerge external communication: $36.05B per year in net income migration, or more than $4M per hour.","classification":"advocacy_analysis"},{"id":"florida_taxwatch","name":"Florida TaxWatch","url":"https://floridataxwatch.org/","notes":"Independent Florida fiscal, taxpayer, and economic research source used for policy context and future competitiveness modules.","classification":"advocacy_analysis"},{"id":"james_madison_institute","name":"The James Madison Institute","url":"https://jamesmadison.org/","notes":"Florida-based policy research source used for economic freedom, regulatory, workforce, housing, education, and competitiveness context.","classification":"advocacy_analysis"},{"id":"fc100_ambition_accelerated","name":"Florida Council of 100 / Ambition Accelerated","url":"https://ambitionaccelerated.com/","notes":"Business-led Florida competitiveness and innovation platform used for Ambition Accelerated, Gold Coast growth, and long-term state strategy context.","classification":"advocacy_analysis"},{"id":"world_bank_gdp","name":"World Bank GDP Current US Dollars API","url":"https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/all/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?format=json&per_page=400&mrnev=1","notes":"Used to verify Florida's implied global-economy rank by comparing the state's 2024 GDP baseline against the latest World Bank country table.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"space_florida","name":"Space Florida","url":"https://www.spaceflorida.gov/news/space-florida-drives-major-wins-for-the-global-aerospace-industry","notes":"Official aerospace pipeline, launch cadence, and spaceport investment figures used for Space Coast Cadence in v2.","classification":"official_announcement"},{"id":"portmiami","name":"PortMiami Cargo Statistics","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/portmiami/cargo.page","notes":"Official PortMiami cargo, tonnage, TEU, and regional trade-share figures used for the LATAM Gateway section.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"port_everglades","name":"Port Everglades Cargo Statistics","url":"https://www.porteverglades.net/about-us/statistics/cargo-statistics/","notes":"Official Port Everglades TEU, tonnage, and refrigerated cargo figures used for the LATAM Gateway section.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"blue_origin_florida","name":"Reuters - Blue Origin Florida Expansion","url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/blue-origin-expand-florida-campus-with-new-600-million-facility-2026-05-22/","notes":"Reuters report on Blue Origin's $600M Cape Canaveral manufacturing expansion used in Space Coast Cadence.","classification":"official_announcement"},{"id":"texas_comptroller_texstats","name":"Texas Comptroller TexStats","url":"https://comptroller.texas.gov/transparency/open-data/dashboards.php","notes":"Peer dashboard model for official statewide and regional economic indicators.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"texas_2036_data_hub","name":"Texas 2036 Data Hub","url":"https://texas2036.org/data/","notes":"Long-range state strategy and scenario framing model.","classification":"advocacy_analysis"},{"id":"pennsylvania_on_target","name":"Pennsylvania On Target","url":"https://dced.pa.gov/pennsylvania-on-target/","notes":"Cluster, workforce, supply-chain, and emerging-industry dashboard model.","classification":"official_announcement"},{"id":"north_carolina_evi","name":"North Carolina County Economic Vitality Dashboard","url":"https://www.commerce.nc.gov/news/the-lead-feed/introducing-county-evi-dashboard","notes":"County comparison, ranking, and improvement-over-time model.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"tennessee_e2e","name":"Tennessee Education to Employment Dashboard","url":"https://www.tn.gov/finance/oei/tn-data/e2e-dashboard.html","notes":"Education-program to wage-outcome model for talent pipeline analysis.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"washington_stem_dashboard","name":"Washington STEM Talent Supply and Demand Dashboard","url":"https://wsac.wa.gov/STEM-Alliance","notes":"STEM supply-demand model for workforce gap framing.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"mass_competitiveness_index","name":"Massachusetts Competitiveness Index","url":"https://www.masstaxpayers.org/massachusetts-competitiveness-index-2025","notes":"Peer-state competitiveness model across economic health, population, business investment, and quality of life.","classification":"advocacy_analysis"},{"id":"bls_state_april_2026","name":"BLS State Employment and Unemployment, April 2026","url":"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm","notes":"Official state unemployment and nonfarm payroll benchmark used for the Florida versus peer-state operating read.","classification":"official_data"},{"id":"cbre_h2_2025_data_centers","name":"CBRE North America Data Center Trends H2 2025","url":"https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/north-america-data-center-trends-h2-2025","notes":"Industry source for primary-market net absorption, Dallas data-center demand, supply constraints, and AI inference siting trends.","classification":"industry_research"},{"id":"jll_2026_global_data_center_outlook","name":"JLL 2026 Global Data Center Outlook","url":"https://www.jll.com/en-uk/newsroom/global-data-center-sector-to-nearly-double-to-200gw-amid-ai-infrastructure-boom","notes":"Industry source for the global AI infrastructure supercycle, 103 GW to 200 GW capacity outlook, and $3T investment frame.","classification":"industry_research"},{"id":"florida_governor_sb484","name":"Florida Governor's Office - SB 484 Data Center Law","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-signs-law-protect-floridians-subsidizing-data-centers","notes":"Official source for Florida's ratepayer-protection stance on hyperscale data centers.","classification":"official_announcement"},{"id":"florida_senate_sb484","name":"Florida Senate CS/CS/SB 484 Bill Summary","url":"https://www.flsenate.gov/Committees/BillSummaries/2026/html/484","notes":"Policy source for large-load tariff, cost-of-service, local authority, water, and transparency requirements.","classification":"official_data"}],"heroMetrics":["unemploymentRate","laborForce","nonfarmPayrolls","population","employmentLevel"],"metrics":{"unemploymentRate":{"id":"unemploymentRate","label":"Unemployment 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innovation stack is expanding alongside its development engine.","signals":["Business applications are up 14.1% year-over-year.","Information employment is down 2.2% year-over-year.","Professional & business services employment is up 0.8% year-over-year."],"development":["Real gross state product is up 11.9% over three years.","Construction employment is down 0.5% year-over-year."],"momentum":["Innovation metrics are intended as directional signal layers, not standalone verdicts.","Business formation plus advanced-service employment growth is a strong expansion pattern.","Development capacity and innovation capacity should be tracked together for policy and capital allocation."]},"resources":[{"id":"select-florida","name":"SelectFlorida","category":"Programs","region":"Statewide","summary":"Statewide business attraction and expansion support 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The next question is whether Texas and other states are capturing the infrastructure-heavy AI layer Florida has not yet measured.","ctaLabel":"Open the brief","href":"briefs/ai-capex-gap/","sources":[{"label":"BLS April 2026 state release","url":"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/laus_05222026.htm"},{"label":"CBRE North America Data Center Trends","url":"https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/north-america-data-center-trends-h2-2025"}]},{"id":"strategic-compute-not-dumb-load","kicker":"Policy read","status":"Watch item","title":"Strategic compute, not dumb load.","summary":"SB 484 makes the ratepayer case explicit: data centers should cover their own power, transmission, and water costs. The harder product question is how Florida competes for strategic compute without shifting the bill to households.","sources":[{"label":"Florida Governor SB 484 release","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-signs-law-protect-floridians-subsidizing-data-centers"}]},{"id":"florida-shaped-compute-lane","kicker":"Next module","status":"Scoping","title":"The Florida lane is edge, LATAM, Space Coast.","summary":"Florida does not need to copy a Texas training-campus strategy. The stronger lane is inference near population, LATAM gateways, Space Coast aerospace compute, and resilient edge capacity that pays its own way.","sources":[{"label":"JLL 2026 Global Data Center Outlook","url":"https://www.jll.com/en-uk/newsroom/global-data-center-sector-to-nearly-double-to-200gw-amid-ai-infrastructure-boom"},{"label":"PortMiami cargo gateway source","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/portmiami/cargo.page"}]}],"strategy":{"headline":"Florida needs a strategy cockpit, not another data portal.","summary":"This layer benchmarks Florida against competitor states, translates outside dashboard models into product moves, and frames the next-economy question around peer states, clusters, talent, metros, and scenarios.","peerStates":[{"id":"FL","name":"Florida","shortName":"FL","positioning":"The scale state with migration, trade, aerospace, and founder formation.","watch":"Whether population and income migration convert into high-wage payroll 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project pipeline, supplier announcements, and advanced manufacturing wage growth.","sources":[{"label":"Space Florida","url":"https://www.spaceflorida.gov/news/space-florida-drives-major-wins-for-the-global-aerospace-industry"}]},{"id":"latam-gateway","title":"LATAM gateway and logistics","thesis":"South Florida's gateway claim is strongest where trade, finance, aviation, containers, and relationships stack together.","bottleneck":"Cold-chain capacity, port throughput, customs efficiency, insurance, and last-mile infrastructure.","proof":"PortMiami and Port Everglades give the dashboard a physical trade base instead of a slogan.","whatToTrack":"TEUs, tonnage, refrigerated cargo, LATAM share, air cargo, export categories, and bilateral trade via Florida ports and airports.","sources":[{"label":"PortMiami cargo","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/portmiami/cargo.page"},{"label":"Port Everglades 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The question is whether the state's education and credential pipeline maps to the clusters it says it wants to win.","Talent Match establishes that bridge with a deliberately narrow public-university coverage proxy; state colleges, credentials, and regional detail are the next expansion."],"sources":[{"label":"Tennessee Education to Employment Dashboard","url":"https://www.tn.gov/finance/oei/tn-data/e2e-dashboard.html"},{"label":"Washington STEM Talent Supply and Demand Dashboard","url":"https://wsac.wa.gov/STEM-Alliance"},{"label":"Florida Council of 100 / Ambition Accelerated","url":"https://ambitionaccelerated.com/"}]},"scenarios":[{"id":"base","label":"Base case","status":"Current trajectory","summary":"Florida keeps gaining people, income, and company formation, but high-wage cluster depth grows unevenly.","signals":["Labor force keeps expanding while unemployment stays elevated from recent lows.","Business formation remains strong but information employment is not yet escape velocity.","Trade and aerospace carry distinctive strength, but AI infrastructure remains under-measured."],"sources":[{"label":"BLS","url":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/"},{"label":"Florida Scorecard","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/pillar%26c%3D0%26pillar%3D2"}]},{"id":"ambition","label":"Ambition case","status":"Florida wins strategic compute","summary":"Florida captures more AI, aerospace, LATAM logistics, life-sciences, and advanced-services investment without subsidizing dumb load.","signals":["Data-center and grid investments show up as high-wage construction and operations jobs.","Space Coast suppliers deepen the aerospace value chain inside Florida.","Talent pipeline data begins showing cluster-specific wage and placement gains."],"sources":[{"label":"Texas 2036 scenario model","url":"https://texas2036.org/data/"},{"label":"Florida Brain AI capex brief","url":"https://tonyv2289.github.io/floridanomics-dashboard-mvp/briefs/ai-capex-gap/"}]},{"id":"risk","label":"Risk case","status":"Population growth without next-economy depth","summary":"Florida keeps the migration story but misses too much of the power-heavy capex and STEM employment boom.","signals":["Unemployment rises while payroll growth concentrates in lower-wage or population-serving sectors.","Texas, Georgia, Arizona, and North Carolina absorb more industrial and data-center investment.","Florida Brain has to explain why a high-growth state is not leading the high-wage cycle."],"sources":[{"label":"Massachusetts peer-state model","url":"https://www.masstaxpayers.org/massachusetts-competitiveness-index-2025"},{"label":"Pennsylvania cluster model","url":"https://dced.pa.gov/pennsylvania-on-target/"}]}]},"competition":{"headline":"Florida needs a competitor-state machine, not a brag book.","summary":"The SelectFlorida archive shows the next product frontier: compare Florida against the states winning FDI, mega-project tools, institutional capacity, migration, and semiconductor commitments. This layer turns those files into an operating surface for Florida Brain.","vaultLog":{"macStudioPath":"/Users/tjvillamil/pelayo-vault/60-Florida/data/intel-sweeps/2026-05-27-selectflorida-comparison-docs-discovery.md","localPath":"/Users/pelayopro/pelayo-vault/60-Florida/data/intel-sweeps/2026-05-27-selectflorida-comparison-docs-discovery.md","caveat":"Internal SelectFlorida and EFI archive discovery. Refresh each public stat against current primary sources before external publication."},"sources":[{"id":"bls_metro_laus_ces","label":"BLS metropolitan LAUS and CES series","kind":"Public source","macStudioPath":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/","url":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/","note":"Official BLS API source for metropolitan unemployment, labor force, employment level, and nonfarm payroll series.","status":"public_source"},{"id":"bls_qcew_api","label":"BLS QCEW Data API","kind":"Public source","macStudioPath":"https://data.bls.gov/cew/doc/access/data_access_examples.htm","url":"https://data.bls.gov/cew/doc/access/data_access_examples.htm","note":"Official QCEW API source for metro establishments, covered employment, wages, and industry concentration.","status":"public_source"},{"id":"dubai_d33","label":"Dubai Economic Agenda D33","kind":"Public source","macStudioPath":"https://u.ae/en/about-the-uae/strategies-initiatives-and-awards/strategies-plans-and-visions/finance-and-economy/dubai-economic-agenda-d33","url":"https://u.ae/en/about-the-uae/strategies-initiatives-and-awards/strategies-plans-and-visions/finance-and-economy/dubai-economic-agenda-d33","note":"Official UAE Government source for Dubai's D33 agenda to double the economy and rank among the top global cities.","status":"public_source"},{"id":"saudi_vision_2030","label":"Saudi Vision 2030","kind":"Public source","macStudioPath":"https://www.vision2030.gov.sa/en/","url":"https://www.vision2030.gov.sa/en/","note":"Official Saudi Vision 2030 source for Riyadh's national transformation, diversification, and giga-project context.","status":"public_source"},{"id":"taiwan_ai_invest","label":"AI Taiwan and Invest Taiwan","kind":"Public source","macStudioPath":"https://ai.taiwan.gov.tw/","url":"https://ai.taiwan.gov.tw/","note":"Official Taiwan AI portal and investment ecosystem source for semiconductor, AI hardware, and applied-AI strategy context.","status":"public_source"},{"id":"singapore_edb_ai","label":"Singapore EDB AI and semiconductor strategy","kind":"Public source","macStudioPath":"https://www.edb.gov.sg/en/business-insights/insights/the-ai-boom-has-made-memory-chips-the-star-of-the-show-singapore-stakes-its-role-in-advanced-packaging.html","url":"https://www.edb.gov.sg/en/business-insights/insights/the-ai-boom-has-made-memory-chips-the-star-of-the-show-singapore-stakes-its-role-in-advanced-packaging.html","note":"Singapore EDB source for advanced packaging, AI-related semiconductor demand, R&D, and investment positioning.","status":"public_source"},{"id":"sf_fdi_comparison_2025","label":"Measuring and Comparing FDI in Florida vs competitor states","kind":"Dropbox source","macStudioPath":"/Users/tjvillamil/Library/CloudStorage/Dropbox/SelectFlorida/2025/Measuring and Comparing FDI in Florida vs.docx","localPath":"/Users/pelayopro/Library/CloudStorage/Dropbox-Personal/SelectFlorida/2025/Measuring and Comparing FDI in Florida vs.docx","note":"Internal FDI comparison memo covering FDI stock, FDI jobs, greenfield projects, first-year expenditures, source-country exposure, and policy strategy.","status":"vault_logged"},{"id":"bea_new_fdi_2024","label":"BEA New Foreign Direct Investment in the United States, 2024","kind":"Public source","macStudioPath":"https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/new-foreign-direct-investment-united-states-2024","url":"https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/new-foreign-direct-investment-united-states-2024","note":"Official BEA release for 2024 new foreign direct investment, including state expenditure leaders, current employment, and greenfield context.","status":"public_source"},{"id":"bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024","label":"BEA new FDI supplemental state tables, 2014-2024","kind":"Public source","macStudioPath":"https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/new-foreign-direct-investment-united-states/supplemental-data","url":"https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/new-foreign-direct-investment-united-states/supplemental-data","note":"Official BEA supplemental tables used for state-by-year first-year expenditures, greenfield expenditures, and current/planned employment.","status":"public_source"},{"id":"sf_incentive_research_2020","label":"State Incentive Research Project FINAL","kind":"Dropbox source","macStudioPath":"/Users/tjvillamil/Library/CloudStorage/Dropbox/SelectFlorida/OneDrive - 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Austin is the velocity warning. Seattle and Boston are the productivity benchmarks.","summary":"This domestic layer compares operating regions, not state slogans. Florida needs to see its own metros against the few U.S. markets that actually teach us something: software velocity, research density, mega-market scale, healthcare migration, and elite productivity.","asOf":"BLS LAUS March 2026, BLS CES April 2026, QCEW 2025 Q3 and 2024 annual industry data","regions":[{"id":"south-florida","name":"South Florida MSA","federalName":"Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL","role":"Scale market","momentum":"mixed","verdict":"Scale up, payroll soft, AI base still catching up.","read":"South Florida has the people, firms, capital, and LATAM gateway position. The gap is converting that scale into a deeper AI-convertible technical and R&D employment base.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"up","value":"3.30M labor force","detail":"+9.1% over five years, the largest Florida labor pool and bigger than Austin, Seattle, Boston, or Nashville."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"down","value":"-0.2% payroll YoY","detail":"April 2026 payrolls slipped slightly even though the five-year payroll gain remains +14.2%."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"right","value":"16.8% AI-exposed jobs","detail":"Meaningful finance, professional-services, information, and HQ base, but less concentrated than Austin, Seattle, or Boston."},{"label":"Software depth","direction":"right","value":"1.2% computer systems","detail":"The software share is the clearest gap versus Austin's 5.2% and Seattle's 3.1%."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"tampa","name":"Tampa Bay MSA","federalName":"Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL","role":"Florida challenger","momentum":"mixed","verdict":"Good AI-exposed share, but labor and covered employment are soft.","read":"Tampa is the Florida metro that most deserves to be in the domestic comparison set after Miami. It has real business-services and finance depth, but the recent labor signal is not yet an Austin-style breakout.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"right","value":"1.69M labor force","detail":"+8.7% over five years, roughly Austin-scale but with softer recent labor-force momentum."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"right","value":"+13.0% payroll 5Y","detail":"Solid five-year payroll growth, but only +0.1% year over year in April 2026."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"up","value":"21.2% AI-exposed jobs","detail":"A surprisingly strong Florida internal competitor on finance, professional services, information, and HQ exposure."},{"label":"Software depth","direction":"right","value":"1.7% computer systems","detail":"Better than South Florida on share, but still well below Austin."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"orlando","name":"Orlando MSA","federalName":"Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL","role":"Simulation and experience economy","momentum":"accelerating","verdict":"The best Florida velocity signal.","read":"Orlando is Florida's domestic velocity story: faster labor-force growth than South Florida, better five-year payroll growth, and a plausible applied-AI lane around simulation, defense, training, hospitality tech, and space adjacency.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"up","value":"1.53M labor force","detail":"+15.2% over five years, the strongest Florida labor-force velocity in this set."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"up","value":"+20.9% payroll 5Y","detail":"The Florida metro closest to Austin-style payroll momentum."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"right","value":"15.4% AI-exposed jobs","detail":"Less concentrated than South Florida or Tampa, but improving from a different base."},{"label":"R&D signal","direction":"up","value":"0.5% R&D jobs","detail":"Not Boston, but stronger than South Florida on the QCEW R&D share."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"jacksonville","name":"Jacksonville MSA","federalName":"Jacksonville, FL","role":"Logistics and finance platform","momentum":"slowing","verdict":"Strategic platform, but not yet a velocity market.","read":"Jacksonville matters for logistics, port strategy, finance, and defense adjacency. On current labor and payroll momentum, though, it is not yet the domestic benchmark for the AI-productivity story.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"right","value":"0.84M labor force","detail":"+7.1% over five years, useful but much smaller than South Florida, Tampa, or Orlando."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"down","value":"-0.4% payroll YoY","detail":"April 2026 payrolls and 2025 Q3 covered employment were both down year over year."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"down","value":"9.5% AI-exposed jobs","detail":"The AI-convertible private employment share is materially below the other Florida metros."},{"label":"Wage base","direction":"right","value":"$1,310 weekly wage","detail":"Covered wages are close to Tampa and above Orlando, but still below South Florida and the national tech peers."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"austin","name":"Austin MSA","federalName":"Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX","role":"Velocity market","momentum":"accelerating","verdict":"Smaller than South Florida, but moving faster and more technical.","read":"Austin is the warning light. It is not bigger than South Florida, but it has faster five-year labor and payroll growth plus a much denser software employment base.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"right","value":"1.56M labor force","detail":"Roughly half South Florida's labor-force scale, but +21.5% over five years."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"up","value":"+23.3% payroll 5Y","detail":"Five-year payroll growth is the cleanest domestic velocity benchmark in this set."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"up","value":"22.8% AI-exposed jobs","detail":"Austin has a more concentrated AI-convertible private employment base."},{"label":"Software depth","direction":"up","value":"5.2% computer systems","detail":"Austin's software share is more than four times South Florida's share."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"seattle","name":"Seattle MSA","federalName":"Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA","role":"Productivity market","momentum":"slowing","verdict":"Labor momentum is soft, but the productivity base is elite.","read":"Seattle shows the difference between labor velocity and productivity power. Its labor market is cooling, but the wage and AI-exposed employment base remains the benchmark for a mature productivity machine.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"right","value":"2.32M labor force","detail":"Large enough to matter, but smaller than South Florida and down 0.9% year over year."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"down","value":"+0.1% payroll YoY","detail":"Payroll momentum is nearly flat and QCEW covered employment was down 0.8% year over year in 2025 Q3."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"up","value":"25.4% AI-exposed jobs","detail":"The highest AI-exposed private employment share in this domestic set."},{"label":"Wage power","direction":"up","value":"$240k AI-base pay","detail":"Weighted annual pay across the AI-exposed stack is dramatically above South Florida and Austin."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"boston","name":"Boston MSA","federalName":"Boston-Cambridge-Newton, MA-NH","role":"R&D and life-science machine","momentum":"mixed","verdict":"Weak labor velocity, elite research density.","read":"Boston is not the growth-speed benchmark. It is the research-density benchmark: universities, biotech, R&D services, and high-wage technical employment that Florida has to learn from without copying wholesale.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"right","value":"2.81M labor force","detail":"Big, but labor force was down 2.2% year over year in March 2026."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"down","value":"-0.5% payroll YoY","detail":"Boston is not currently a velocity comp on the headline payroll signal."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"up","value":"24.7% AI-exposed jobs","detail":"Almost Seattle-level AI-exposed private employment share."},{"label":"R&D density","direction":"up","value":"4.0% R&D jobs","detail":"The strongest R&D share in this comparison, and the reason Boston belongs here."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"chicago","name":"Chicago MSA","federalName":"Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI","role":"Mega-market incumbent","momentum":"mixed","verdict":"Huge scale, modest velocity, finance-heavy exposed base.","read":"Chicago is useful because it is a giant diversified incumbent, not because it is the future model. It gives South Florida a mega-market comparison for scale, wages, logistics, finance, and institutional depth.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"up","value":"4.99M labor force","detail":"The largest labor pool in the domestic comparison."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"right","value":"+8.0% payroll 5Y","detail":"Stable, but nowhere near Austin or Orlando velocity."},{"label":"Wage base","direction":"right","value":"$1,508 weekly wage","detail":"Higher covered wage level than Florida metros except South Florida."},{"label":"Data caveat","direction":"neutral","value":"QCEW tech suppressed","detail":"Several detailed tech industries are suppressed in QCEW, so Chicago should be read as scale and finance/logistics depth, not a clean software comparison."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"nashville","name":"Nashville MSA","federalName":"Nashville-Davidson--Murfreesboro--Franklin, TN","role":"Healthcare and migration velocity","momentum":"mixed","verdict":"Fast growth and tight unemployment, but not a software benchmark.","read":"Nashville belongs because it is a Southeast growth and healthcare-services competitor. It is not a Seattle or Austin on AI depth, but it is a relevant warning on migration, healthcare HQs, and state-level execution.","signals":[{"label":"Scale","direction":"right","value":"1.19M labor force","detail":"Smaller than the major Florida metros, but large enough to compete for healthcare and HQ projects."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"up","value":"+15.9% payroll 5Y","detail":"A stronger five-year payroll signal than South Florida, Tampa, Jacksonville, Seattle, Boston, or Chicago."},{"label":"Labor tightness","direction":"up","value":"2.8% unemployment","detail":"The tightest March 2026 unemployment rate in this domestic set."},{"label":"AI caveat","direction":"right","value":"Healthcare first","detail":"Nashville's lesson is applied AI in healthcare services and HQ operations, not raw software density."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]}]},"internationalMetroComparison":{"headline":"Miami's international comp set is not New York. It is Dubai, Riyadh, Taipei, and Singapore.","summary":"These are not apples-to-apples labor-market comparisons. They are operating-model comparisons: gateway capital, sovereign execution, semiconductor supply chain, and regulated global hub discipline. Miami's job is to borrow the right mechanism from each without losing its Florida advantage.","asOf":"Curated official-source strategy layer, May 2026","regions":[{"id":"miami","name":"Miami / South Florida","federalName":"Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach, FL","role":"Americas gateway","momentum":"mixed","verdict":"The global gateway is real. The execution stack has to get sharper.","read":"Miami has wealth migration, LATAM connectivity, finance, trade, real estate, hospitality, and cultural magnetism. The next step is turning that into an institutional operating system for applied AI, capital formation, and hemispheric headquarters.","signals":[{"label":"Gateway","direction":"up","value":"LATAM capital lane","detail":"Miami's native global lane is hemispheric: finance, trade, founders, real estate, healthcare, and family office capital."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"right","value":"Scale before systems","detail":"The market has energy and inflow, but the economic-development machine is less coordinated than Dubai, Riyadh, or Singapore."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"right","value":"Applied AI lane","detail":"The best Miami lane is applied AI for finance, insurance, LATAM trade, logistics, healthcare, hospitality, and public services."},{"label":"Risk","direction":"down","value":"Execution gap","detail":"Without a sharper project ledger, talent strategy, and infrastructure posture, Miami stays a lifestyle gateway rather than a productivity hub."}],"sourceIds":["bls_metro_laus_ces","bls_qcew_api"]},{"id":"dubai","name":"Dubai","federalName":"Dubai, United Arab Emirates","role":"Global gateway operating system","momentum":"accelerating","verdict":"The benchmark for brand, speed, capital attraction, and coordinated execution.","read":"Dubai is the cleanest international comparison for Miami because it competes as a gateway, not as a traditional industrial city. The lesson is not copy-paste incentives. The lesson is unified ambition, service speed, global investor UX, and an unmistakable city strategy.","signals":[{"label":"Ambition","direction":"up","value":"D33 doubling agenda","detail":"Dubai's D33 agenda explicitly targets doubling the economy and ranking among top global cities."},{"label":"Gateway","direction":"up","value":"Capital and trade hub","detail":"Dubai runs the global-gateway play with a much clearer operating system than Miami currently has."},{"label":"Execution","direction":"up","value":"Single-city machine","detail":"The governance and investor-service stack is easier to read than fragmented U.S. metro governance."},{"label":"Miami lesson","direction":"right","value":"Own the Americas","detail":"Miami should translate the Dubai playbook into a LATAM and Florida Brain operating system, not mimic Gulf real estate economics."}],"sourceIds":["dubai_d33"]},{"id":"riyadh","name":"Riyadh","federalName":"Riyadh, Saudi Arabia","role":"Sovereign transformation capital","momentum":"accelerating","verdict":"The benchmark for state-backed ambition and project scale.","read":"Riyadh is useful because it shows what happens when national strategy, capital, infrastructure, and place-making are pointed in one direction. Miami cannot and should not copy that model, but Florida can learn from the seriousness of project delivery.","signals":[{"label":"Capital stack","direction":"up","value":"Vision 2030 engine","detail":"Saudi Vision 2030 puts diversification, investment, infrastructure, and global positioning into one national frame."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"up","value":"Giga-project posture","detail":"Riyadh competes through large, visible, state-backed projects and institutional urgency."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"right","value":"Infrastructure-led","detail":"The AI angle is less organic software density and more capital, infrastructure, energy, and sovereign execution."},{"label":"Miami lesson","direction":"right","value":"Project ledger discipline","detail":"Florida needs named projects, conversion tracking, and delivery accountability if it wants to be taken seriously at this scale."}],"sourceIds":["saudi_vision_2030"]},{"id":"taipei","name":"Taipei / Taiwan tech corridor","federalName":"Taipei, Taiwan","role":"AI hardware supply-chain core","momentum":"accelerating","verdict":"The benchmark for semiconductor and AI-hardware centrality.","read":"Taipei is not a Miami lifestyle comp. It is the AI supply-chain comp. Taiwan's lesson is how hardware, suppliers, advanced packaging, testing, engineering talent, and government strategy turn AI demand into national economic leverage.","signals":[{"label":"AI base","direction":"up","value":"Semiconductor core","detail":"Taiwan sits near the center of AI hardware, HPC, server, semiconductor, and advanced packaging supply chains."},{"label":"Velocity","direction":"up","value":"AI demand pull","detail":"Global AI infrastructure demand is pulling investment through Taiwan's supplier ecosystem."},{"label":"Risk","direction":"down","value":"Energy and geopolitics","detail":"Taiwan's advantage comes with grid, security, and geopolitical constraints that Florida should study carefully."},{"label":"Miami lesson","direction":"right","value":"Pick a supply-chain lane","detail":"Florida does not need to become Taiwan, but it does need to choose where it fits in AI hardware, power, cooling, space, defense, and logistics."}],"sourceIds":["taiwan_ai_invest"]},{"id":"singapore","name":"Singapore","federalName":"Republic of Singapore","role":"Regulated global hub","momentum":"accelerating","verdict":"The benchmark for trusted hub discipline.","read":"Singapore is the best comparison for disciplined, source-aware, globally trusted economic development. It combines capital, talent, regulation, logistics, advanced manufacturing, and digital infrastructure into a managed hub strategy.","signals":[{"label":"Hub discipline","direction":"up","value":"Trusted global node","detail":"Singapore's advantage is reliability: law, talent, logistics, finance, data, and government coordination."},{"label":"AI base","direction":"up","value":"Advanced packaging and DCs","detail":"Singapore is actively positioning around AI-related semiconductor demand, advanced packaging, R&D, and sustainable data-center growth."},{"label":"Execution","direction":"up","value":"Policy-to-project loop","detail":"The public-sector and investment-promotion machine is tighter than most U.S. metro structures."},{"label":"Miami lesson","direction":"right","value":"Trust is infrastructure","detail":"For Miami, global finance and LATAM gateway ambitions need transparent data, source discipline, speed, and institutional reliability."}],"sourceIds":["singapore_edb_ai"]}]},"fdiScoreboard":{"headline":"Florida is top-tier by FDI reach, but not yet by capital intensity.","summary":"The archive memo says Florida ranks with the national leaders on FDI jobs and greenfield project count, while BEA's 2024 state tables show the sharper delta: Florida led current employment from new FDI, but Texas and Georgia are gaining the capex flow.","observatory":{"headline":"Four-score FDI Observatory","summary":"Stock shows accumulated foreign-owned footprint. Flow shows the newest annual capital. Quality separates greenfield and strategic work from acquisition churn. Pipeline tests whether announcements convert into real jobs, capex, and operating sites.","scores":[{"id":"stock","label":"Stock","score":52,"maxScore":100,"value":"$87.7B PP&E","delta":"Florida is $341.8B below Texas in the archive foreign-owned PP&E baseline.","status":"Capital gap","read":"Florida has real foreign-company scale, but the installed capital base is not yet a Texas-style heavy-industry or infrastructure base.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"flow","label":"Flow","score":68,"maxScore":100,"value":"$3.7B 2024","delta":"Florida first-year new FDI expenditures fell 7.8% YoY while Texas rose 80.5% and Georgia rose 154.8%.","status":"Watch share loss","read":"Florida is still winning deals, but the newest annual capital flow says competitors are converting the capex boom faster.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]},{"id":"quality","label":"Quality","score":58,"maxScore":100,"value":"18.2% greenfield share","delta":"Florida current employment from new FDI jumped to 32.7k, but 2024 greenfield current employment rounded to zero.","status":"Acquisition-heavy","read":"The jobs headline is excellent, but quality scoring has to ask whether those are new production footprints or acquired existing payrolls.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_2024","bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]},{"id":"pipeline","label":"Pipeline","score":74,"maxScore":100,"value":"1,050 projects","delta":"Strong announced project count, but the next step is conversion scoring against jobs, capex, wage, and operating status.","status":"Needs conversion ledger","read":"The WAVTEQ, FPL, SelectFlorida, Outlook, and Dropbox archive can become the forward-looking pipeline if every announcement gets a confidence score and follow-through status.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025","efi_bi_side_by_side_2022"]}],"deltas":[{"id":"TX","state":"Texas","latestExpendituresUsdBillions":22.803,"oneYearExpendituresPercent":80.5,"currentEmploymentThousands":18.2,"oneYearEmploymentPercent":44.4,"greenfieldSharePercent":3.4,"momentum":"accelerating","read":"Texas is the 2024 capex leader. The growth is acquisition-heavy, but the scale is what Florida has to compete against.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]},{"id":"GA","state":"Georgia","latestExpendituresUsdBillions":16.292,"oneYearExpendituresPercent":154.8,"currentEmploymentThousands":8.5,"oneYearEmploymentPercent":28.8,"greenfieldSharePercent":0.1,"momentum":"accelerating","read":"Georgia is the clean warning light: lower long-run FDI scale than Florida, but 2024 flow surged because the project machine is sharper.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]},{"id":"CA","state":"California","latestExpendituresUsdBillions":12.871,"oneYearExpendituresPercent":-45,"currentEmploymentThousands":11.7,"oneYearEmploymentPercent":-40.6,"greenfieldSharePercent":null,"momentum":"slowing","read":"California still has the deepest global-company base, but 2024 new FDI flow and current employment both moved down.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]},{"id":"NC","state":"North Carolina","latestExpendituresUsdBillions":5.639,"oneYearExpendituresPercent":70.2,"currentEmploymentThousands":null,"oneYearEmploymentPercent":null,"greenfieldSharePercent":null,"momentum":"mixed","read":"North Carolina's expenditure flow accelerated, but BEA suppressions keep the employment and greenfield-quality read incomplete.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]},{"id":"FL","state":"Florida","latestExpendituresUsdBillions":3.665,"oneYearExpendituresPercent":-7.8,"currentEmploymentThousands":32.7,"oneYearEmploymentPercent":275.9,"greenfieldSharePercent":18.2,"momentum":"mixed","read":"Florida led current employment from new FDI in 2024, but first-year expenditures slipped and the employment jump appears acquisition-heavy.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_2024","bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]},{"id":"NY","state":"New York","latestExpendituresUsdBillions":3.07,"oneYearExpendituresPercent":-68.9,"currentEmploymentThousands":14.2,"oneYearEmploymentPercent":15.4,"greenfieldSharePercent":null,"momentum":"mixed","read":"New York's annual capital flow fell hard, but current employment still rose, consistent with a services and acquisition-heavy profile.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]},{"id":"TN","state":"Tennessee","latestExpendituresUsdBillions":0.037,"oneYearExpendituresPercent":-89.8,"currentEmploymentThousands":2.4,"oneYearEmploymentPercent":60,"greenfieldSharePercent":18.9,"momentum":"slowing","read":"Tennessee's 2024 first-year flow was tiny after a weak 2023, even though its long-run manufacturing FDI posture remains strategically relevant.","sourceIds":["bea_new_fdi_state_tables_2024"]}]},"metrics":[{"id":"fdi-jobs","label":"FDI jobs","value":"358,200","context":"Florida majority-foreign-owned affiliate employment, 2021","read":"Florida has real FDI scale and leads regional peers on jobs. The question is whether those jobs sit in sectors that lift the wage curve.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"greenfield-projects","label":"Greenfield projects","value":"1,050","context":"Florida announced greenfield FDI projects, 2014-2024","read":"Project count is strong. The weakness is project weight, industrial depth, and mega-project capital intensity.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"fdi-stock","label":"FDI stock","value":"$87.7B","context":"Florida foreign-owned PP&E, 2021","read":"The capital stock gap versus Texas is the cleanest proof that Florida's FDI mix skews less heavy-industrial.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"first-year-expenditures","label":"First-year expenditures","value":"$9.1B","context":"Florida 2022 FDI inflow measure","read":"Momentum exists, but the memo says most recent inflow came mainly through acquisitions rather than new establishments.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]}],"states":[{"id":"CA","name":"California","tier":"national leader","fdiJobs":816400,"greenfieldProjects":2301,"fdiPpeUsdBillions":261,"firstYearExpendituresUsdBillions":null,"capitalIntensityRead":"Largest jobs and project scale in the comparison set, with deep tech and R&D density.","posture":"Benchmark for tech, R&D, and global-company depth.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"TX","name":"Texas","tier":"capital-heavy peer","fdiJobs":660500,"greenfieldProjects":1798,"fdiPpeUsdBillions":429.5,"firstYearExpendituresUsdBillions":null,"capitalIntensityRead":"Dominates the capital stock comparison with energy, industrial, and large-project depth.","posture":"The peer Florida has to beat for heavy capex.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"NY","name":"New York","tier":"global services peer","fdiJobs":509200,"greenfieldProjects":1996,"fdiPpeUsdBillions":238,"firstYearExpendituresUsdBillions":null,"capitalIntensityRead":"Deep services, finance, and foreign-company presence.","posture":"Useful HQ, services, and source-country benchmark.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"FL","name":"Florida","tier":"scale challenger","fdiJobs":358200,"greenfieldProjects":1050,"fdiPpeUsdBillions":87.7,"firstYearExpendituresUsdBillions":9.1,"capitalIntensityRead":"Leads regional peers on jobs and projects, but capital stock is far below Texas.","posture":"Strong FDI reach, weaker mega-project intensity.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"NC","name":"North Carolina","tier":"regional industrial peer","fdiJobs":303600,"greenfieldProjects":626,"fdiPpeUsdBillions":null,"firstYearExpendituresUsdBillions":null,"capitalIntensityRead":"Fewer projects than Florida but stronger fit with advanced manufacturing and mega-project recruitment.","posture":"Watch for advanced manufacturing and training alignment.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"GA","name":"Georgia","tier":"regional logistics peer","fdiJobs":281800,"greenfieldProjects":661,"fdiPpeUsdBillions":null,"firstYearExpendituresUsdBillions":null,"capitalIntensityRead":"Lower FDI jobs than Florida but sharper manufacturing, logistics, EV, and supplier posture.","posture":"Watch EV, battery, port, and supplier wins.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]},{"id":"TN","name":"Tennessee","tier":"manufacturing peer","fdiJobs":202300,"greenfieldProjects":367,"fdiPpeUsdBillions":null,"firstYearExpendituresUsdBillions":null,"capitalIntensityRead":"Smaller scale, but auto and Japanese FDI make it strategically important.","posture":"A reminder that project quality can outweigh project count.","sourceIds":["sf_fdi_comparison_2025"]}]},"policyToolkit":{"headline":"Competitor states are not just cheaper. They are tooled.","summary":"The 2020 competitor-state report shows why Florida's next growth argument cannot stop at tax climate. The winning states package site readiness, training, infrastructure, local deal authority, data-center exemptions, and mega-project tools into one project machine.","states":[{"id":"florida","state":"Florida","competitorSignal":"Florida has useful tools, but they are not yet framed as a next-economy operating system.","tools":["Capital Investment Tax Credit","High Impact Performance Incentive","Job Growth Grant Fund","Quick Response Training","Semiconductor, defense, and space technology exemption","Manufacturing machinery and equipment exemption"],"floridaGap":"The toolkit exists. The open question is whether it is fast and specific enough for AI compute, semiconductors, advanced manufacturing, and large capex projects.","sourceIds":["fl_program_inventory_2023"]},{"id":"texas","state":"Texas","competitorSignal":"Texas pairs state deal-closing authority with local agreements and a clearer data-center exemption frame.","tools":["Data center state sales and use tax exemption","Texas Enterprise Fund","Chapter 380 and 381 local economic-development agreements","Spaceport Trust Fund"],"floridaGap":"Texas makes it easier to see the capital-stack answer for power-heavy projects.","sourceIds":["sf_incentive_research_2020"]},{"id":"north-carolina","state":"North Carolina","competitorSignal":"North Carolina's ledger combines data-center exemptions, JDIG, One NC, infrastructure, reuse, and rail access.","tools":["Data center sales and use tax exemptions","Job Development Investment Grant","One North Carolina Fund","Golden LEAF infrastructure grants","Rail Industrial Access Program"],"floridaGap":"North Carolina is a useful model for aligning recruitment tools with manufacturing, rural infrastructure, and workforce delivery.","sourceIds":["sf_incentive_research_2020"]},{"id":"georgia","state":"Georgia","competitorSignal":"Georgia's toolkit is built around job credits, quality jobs, mega-projects, investment, and R&D.","tools":["Mega Project Tax Credit","Quality Jobs Tax Credit","Job Tax Credit","Investment Tax Credit","Research and Development Tax Credit"],"floridaGap":"Georgia's lesson is not just incentives. It is a clearer manufacturing and supplier-chain posture.","sourceIds":["sf_incentive_research_2020"]},{"id":"tennessee","state":"Tennessee","competitorSignal":"Tennessee uses FastTrack and job credits to make manufacturing projects feel executable.","tools":["FastTrack Infrastructure Program","FastTrack Job Training Assistance","FastTrack Economic Development","Super Jobs Tax Credit","Industrial Machinery Tax Credit"],"floridaGap":"Tennessee shows how a smaller state can punch above its weight when the training and industrial machinery answer is legible.","sourceIds":["sf_incentive_research_2020"]},{"id":"arizona-utah","state":"Arizona and Utah","competitorSignal":"Western peers frame data centers, qualified facilities, R&D, and infrastructure as a scale-up package.","tools":["Arizona Computer Data Center exemptions","Arizona Qualified Facility Tax Credits","Utah EDTIF credit","Utah High Cost Infrastructure Tax Credit","Utah life science and technology credit"],"floridaGap":"The AI capex race rewards states that can answer power, water, infrastructure, and post-performance incentives in one conversation.","sourceIds":["sf_incentive_research_2020"]}]},"institutionalCapacity":{"headline":"The old EFI BI memo is the blueprint for Florida Brain.","summary":"The archived side-by-side says EFI had useful baseline data, but it was trapped in static PDFs, scattered research roles, and underused data systems. Floridanomics is the product answer to that institutional gap.","metrics":[{"id":"research-fte-current","label":"Existing research bench","value":"3 FTE","context":"EFI research roles described in September 2022","read":"The memo says research capacity existed, but it was non-managerial and spread across business development, ITD, and military-defense work.","sourceIds":["efi_bi_side_by_side_2022"]},{"id":"research-fte-proposed","label":"BI target bench","value":"5 FTE","context":"Proposed VP, manager, and combined research structure","read":"The proposal was not just more staff. It was a shift from static reporting to business-intelligence products.","sourceIds":["efi_bi_side_by_side_2022"]},{"id":"salesforce-legacy","label":"Legacy CRM depth","value":"10+ years","context":"Salesforce data described as complex, layered, and needing cleanup","read":"The archive warns that dashboards are only as good as their data architecture. Florida Brain needs source discipline from day one.","sourceIds":["efi_bi_side_by_side_2022"]},{"id":"tool-stack","label":"Data stack named","value":"8+ systems","context":"WISERTrade, BEA, JobsEQ, EMSI, Kompass, CoStar, D&B Hoovers, IBISWorld, and more","read":"The state already knew the right direction: live tools, better visualization, FDI market intelligence, and dynamic web dashboards.","sourceIds":["efi_bi_side_by_side_2022","state_appropros_efi"]}],"operatingLessons":["Do not publish static PDF dashboards when the underlying question is moving monthly.","Treat Salesforce, trade, FDI, incentives, and project pipelines as one intelligence fabric.","Separate public claims from internal leads so Florida Brain can be bold without losing source integrity.","Build a competitor-state update rhythm before the next big capex cycle becomes old news."],"sourceIds":["efi_bi_side_by_side_2022","state_appropros_efi"]},"migration":{"headline":"Migration is Florida's flywheel. It is not the whole strategy.","summary":"The internal migration spreadsheet shows Florida beating Texas on state-to-state migration in 2021 and 2022. That is the demand engine. The competitor tool asks whether the supply side is becoming high-wage enough.","rankings":[{"rank":1,"state":"Florida","netMigration2021":205163,"netMigration2022":249064},{"rank":2,"state":"Texas","netMigration2021":144032,"netMigration2022":174261},{"rank":3,"state":"North Carolina","netMigration2021":99406,"netMigration2022":82160},{"rank":4,"state":"Arizona","netMigration2021":88165,"netMigration2022":77995},{"rank":5,"state":"Georgia","netMigration2021":64067,"netMigration2022":74520}],"read":"Florida can win people and still lose the next-economy mix. The model has to track whether migration becomes taxable income, technical workforce, founder formation, and strategic investment.","sourceIds":["migration_rank_2022"]},"semiconductor":{"headline":"Florida has a chips ledger. Now it needs a compute-and-supply-chain thesis.","summary":"The 2024 spreadsheet logs $391,985,340 of Florida semiconductor-related commitments across DOE, JGGF, UCF, BRIDG, and UF line items. The next layer should connect those commitments to the AI capex, aerospace, and advanced-manufacturing map.","commitments":[{"id":"doe-2024-schools","label":"DOE high schools, tech colleges, and state colleges","valueUsd":47004840,"context":"2024 workforce and education line item"},{"id":"jggf-2023-neocity","label":"JGGF 2023 NeoCity","valueUsd":17500000,"context":"Job Growth Grant Fund semiconductor ecosystem line item"},{"id":"jggf-2023-valencia","label":"JGGF 2023 Valencia College","valueUsd":4170000,"context":"Workforce and technical training line item"},{"id":"jggf-2023-santa-fe","label":"JGGF 2023 Santa Fe College","valueUsd":3000000,"context":"Workforce and technical training line item"},{"id":"jggf-2023-lake-technical","label":"JGGF 2023 Lake Technical College","valueUsd":1860500,"context":"Workforce and technical training line item"},{"id":"jggf-2023-eastern-florida","label":"JGGF 2023 Eastern Florida State College","valueUsd":1550000,"context":"Space Coast workforce line item"},{"id":"jggf-2022-neocity","label":"JGGF 2022 NeoCity","valueUsd":5800000,"context":"Earlier NeoCity support line item"},{"id":"jggf-2022-valencia","label":"JGGF 2022 Valencia College","valueUsd":3700000,"context":"Earlier training-support line item"},{"id":"ucf-nonrecurring","label":"UCF nonrecurring appropriations","valueUsd":24500000,"context":"University semiconductor capacity line item"},{"id":"ucf-recurring-degrees","label":"UCF semiconductor degrees 10-year commitment","valueUsd":200000000,"context":"Recurring appropriations commitment"},{"id":"bridg-design-center","label":"BRIDG Design Center at NeoCity","valueUsd":2900000,"context":"NeoCity design-center line item"},{"id":"uf-semi-institute-ops","label":"UF Semiconductor Institute operations","valueUsd":35000000,"context":"2024 operations line item"},{"id":"uf-semi-institute-fco","label":"UF Semiconductor Institute FCO","valueUsd":45000000,"context":"2024 fixed-capital-outlay line item"}],"read":"The commitment stack is real enough to build around. The missing product is a live comparison against peer-state chips, data-center, aerospace, and advanced-manufacturing commitments.","sourceIds":["chips_commitment_2024"]},"nextMoves":["Refresh the FDI scoreboard against current BEA, SelectUSA, and fDi Markets sources before public citation.","Convert the 2020 incentive report into a structured state-policy ledger with current URLs, eligibility thresholds, and sunset dates.","Build a named project ledger for Texas, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona, Utah, and Tennessee AI capex, chips, EV, battery, and aerospace wins.","Pair migration with IRS income migration, BLS wage mix, housing constraints, and tax-base yield so the flywheel is measured, not assumed.","Add a Florida Model export mode that turns this competitor layer into sponsor-ready HTML briefs for Florida Brain."]},"federal":{"headline":"Federal data spine","summary":"BLS, Census exports, and BEA are live when their keys are present. Census business applications, EIA, and IRS remain explicit feed contracts so the dashboard can separate live federal metrics from safe fallbacks and download-only official sources.","refreshedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z","sources":[{"id":"bls_public_api","agency":"U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics","label":"BLS Public Data API","tier":"federal_api","url":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/api_signature_v2.htm","apiUrl":"https://api.bls.gov/publicAPI/v2/timeseries/data/","envKey":"BLS_API_KEY","status":"live","note":"Live LAUS and CES labor-market backbone. Key is optional but raises BLS request limits."},{"id":"census_bfs_api","agency":"U.S. Census Bureau","label":"Business Formation Statistics API","tier":"federal_via_fred","url":"https://www.census.gov/econ/bfs/index.html","envKey":"CENSUS_API_KEY","status":"fallback","note":"Florida business applications remain on the Census BFS series via FRED while the state-level Census BFS API path is confirmed."},{"id":"census_state_exports_api","agency":"U.S. Census Bureau","label":"State export API","tier":"federal_api","url":"https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/intltrade/exports/statehsexport.html","apiUrl":"https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/intltrade/exports/statehsexport","envKey":"CENSUS_API_KEY","status":"live","note":"Direct source for state exports by month. Until the key is configured, the dashboard keeps the verified SelectFlorida trade release."},{"id":"bea_regional_api","agency":"U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis","label":"BEA Regional API","tier":"federal_api","url":"https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state","apiUrl":"https://apps.bea.gov/api/data/","envKey":"BEA_API_KEY","status":"live","note":"Direct source for state GDP and income accounts. Falls back to the BEA/FRED bridge when the key is unavailable."},{"id":"eia_electricity_api","agency":"U.S. Energy Information Administration","label":"EIA Open Data API","tier":"federal_api","url":"https://www.eia.gov/opendata/documentation.php","apiUrl":"https://api.eia.gov/v2/electricity/retail-sales/data/","envKey":"EIA_API_KEY","status":"live","note":"Direct source for electricity price, sales, and power-readiness proxies tied to data-center competitiveness."},{"id":"irs_soi_migration_download","agency":"Internal Revenue Service","label":"IRS SOI Migration Data","tier":"federal_download","url":"https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-migration-data","status":"download_required","note":"Official migration and AGI flow data. IRS publishes downloadable files rather than a stable JSON API."}],"signals":[{"id":"bls-florida-unemployment","label":"Florida unemployment","value":"4.7%","unit":"percent","geography":"Florida","period":"2026-06-01","sourceId":"bls_public_api","status":"live","read":"The labor-market cockpit is already on live BLS LAUS data.","sourceUrl":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/api_signature_v2.htm","retrievedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z"},{"id":"bls-florida-nonfarm-payrolls","label":"Florida nonfarm payrolls","value":"10M jobs","unit":"jobs","geography":"Florida","period":"2026-06-01","sourceId":"bls_public_api","status":"live","read":"Payrolls are live from BLS CES, which is the right monthly benchmark for jobs by employer.","sourceUrl":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/api_signature_v2.htm","retrievedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z"},{"id":"bls-peer-payroll-leader","label":"Peer payroll leader","value":"NC 1.2% YoY","unit":"year-over-year percent","geography":"Peer states","period":"2026-06-01","sourceId":"bls_public_api","status":"live","read":"The competitor tab already compares Florida against peers on the same federal labor-series footing.","sourceUrl":"https://www.bls.gov/developers/api_signature_v2.htm","retrievedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z"},{"id":"census-business-applications","label":"Business applications","value":"61,256","unit":"applications","geography":"Florida","period":"2026-06-01","sourceId":"census_bfs_api","status":"fallback","read":"Business formation is federal Census BFS data, but Florida state values remain on the FRED bridge until a state-level Census BFS API path is confirmed.","sourceUrl":"https://www.census.gov/econ/bfs/index.html","caveat":"Census key is installed; BFS remains a FRED bridge because the confirmed Census API path is national, not Florida state-level.","retrievedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z"},{"id":"census-florida-exports","label":"Florida exports","value":"$79.1B","unit":"current dollars","geography":"Florida","period":"2025-12","sourceId":"census_state_exports_api","status":"live","read":"The trade layer can now reconcile the SelectFlorida release against the Census state export API.","sourceUrl":"https://api.census.gov/data/timeseries/intltrade/exports/statehsexport.html","retrievedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z"},{"id":"bea-real-gsp","label":"Real gross state product","value":"$1.4T","unit":"chained dollars","geography":"Florida","period":"2025","sourceId":"bea_regional_api","status":"live","read":"Real GSP is now coming straight from the BEA Regional API, table SAGDP9, line 1, Florida.","sourceUrl":"https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gdp-state","retrievedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z"},{"id":"eia-industrial-electricity-price","label":"Industrial electricity price","value":"8.99","unit":"cents per kilowatt-hour","geography":"Florida","period":"2026-05","sourceId":"eia_electricity_api","status":"live","read":"Power-cost monitoring is live, which matters for AI infrastructure, advanced manufacturing, and data-center competitiveness.","sourceUrl":"https://www.eia.gov/opendata/documentation.php","retrievedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z"},{"id":"irs-income-migration","label":"Income migration","value":"Download queue","unit":"AGI flows","geography":"State and county flows","period":"IRS SOI latest available","sourceId":"irs_soi_migration_download","status":"download_required","read":"IRS SOI is the right official layer for income migration, but it is a download pipeline rather than a clean JSON endpoint.","sourceUrl":"https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-migration-data","caveat":"Build a separate IRS SOI ingest job for county-to-county and state-to-state migration files.","retrievedAt":"2026-08-04T19:11:12.612Z"}],"missingKeys":[],"nextFeeds":["Extend Census exports from statewide totals into monthly commodity and partner-market detail.","Confirm a Census state-level BFS API path or replace the FRED bridge with an official Census CSV ingest.","Extend BEA Regional API coverage into personal income, GDP by industry, and metro/county output layers.","Extend EIA feeds from industrial price into sales, load, generation mix, and interconnection proxy data.","Build the IRS SOI download ingest for income migration and AGI flows by state and county."]},"terminal":{"headline":"Export the Florida model as an operating system, not a slogan.","thesis":"Florida's advantage is not one metric. It is migration, business formation, low-tax discipline, gateway infrastructure, aerospace cadence, and policy restraint working together. The open question is whether that model can also win the power-heavy AI capex cycle without making households subsidize it.","operatingQuestion":"Is Florida converting population and capital inflow into high-wage strategic industries faster than peer states, or is it letting the largest capex boom in modern infrastructure compound somewhere else?","sources":[{"id":"bls_state_april_2026","label":"BLS April 2026 state release","url":"https://www.bls.gov/news.release/laus.nr0.htm","tier":"official","note":"Florida posted the largest monthly payroll gain in April 2026, while its unemployment rate rose 1.1 percentage points year over year."},{"id":"cbre_h2_2025_data_centers","label":"CBRE H2 2025 data center trends","url":"https://www.cbre.com/insights/books/north-america-data-center-trends-h2-2025","tier":"industry","note":"Tracks primary-market absorption, Dallas momentum, power constraints, inference demand, and the national incentive race."},{"id":"jll_2026_global_data_center_outlook","label":"JLL 2026 global data center outlook","url":"https://www.jll.com/en-uk/newsroom/global-data-center-sector-to-nearly-double-to-200gw-amid-ai-infrastructure-boom","tier":"industry","note":"Frames the global AI infrastructure supercycle as capacity moving from 103 GW to 200 GW by 2030 with up to $3T of investment."},{"id":"florida_governor_sb484","label":"Florida Governor SB 484 release","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-signs-law-protect-floridians-subsidizing-data-centers","tier":"official","note":"Official ratepayer-protection and local-authority frame for Florida data-center policy."},{"id":"florida_senate_sb484","label":"Florida Senate SB 484 summary","url":"https://www.flsenate.gov/Committees/BillSummaries/2026/html/484","tier":"policy","note":"Large-load customers must pay cost of service and cannot shift nonpayment risk to the general body of ratepayers."},{"id":"space_florida","label":"Space Florida aerospace readout","url":"https://www.spaceflorida.gov/news/space-florida-drives-major-wins-for-the-global-aerospace-industry","tier":"official","note":"Source for launch cadence and aerospace project-pipeline context."},{"id":"blue_origin_florida","label":"Blue Origin Florida expansion","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-announces-600m-blue-origin-manufacturing-expansion-500-high","tier":"official","note":"Project-level source for the $600M Cape Canaveral manufacturing expansion and 500 high-wage jobs frame."},{"id":"saronic_port_alpha","label":"Saronic Port Alpha announcement","url":"https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/saronic-to-build-port-alpha-americas-next-generation-shipyard-in-brownsville-texas-302827950.html","tier":"industry","note":"Company announcement for the $3B-plus Brownsville shipyard, construction timeline, and up to 10,000 direct jobs."},{"id":"nc_jetzero_groundbreaking","label":"North Carolina JetZero groundbreaking","url":"https://www.commerce.nc.gov/news/press-releases/2026/06/15/governor-stein-celebrates-jetzero-groundbreaking-launch-greensboro-airplane-makers-14500-job-project","tier":"official","note":"Official source for the $4.7B Greensboro aerospace project, 14,500-job commitment, and construction milestone."},{"id":"nc_abbvie_durham","label":"North Carolina AbbVie Durham announcement","url":"https://www.commerce.nc.gov/news/press-releases/2026/04/22/governor-stein-announces-abbvie-build-new-14-billion-manufacturing-campus-durham","tier":"official","note":"Official source for AbbVie's $1.4B Durham campus, 734 jobs, and $118,041 disclosed average salary."},{"id":"ga_ucb_biologics","label":"Georgia UCB biologics announcement","url":"https://georgia.org/press-releases/2026/ucb-invest-2-billion-georgia-establish-first-us-manufacturing-facility","tier":"official","note":"Official source for UCB's $2B biologics manufacturing facility and 330 jobs at Rowen."},{"id":"ga_unified_legacy","label":"Georgia Unified Legacy announcement","url":"https://georgia.org/press-releases/2026/georgia-based-unified-legacy-create-500-new-jobs-macon-bibb-county","tier":"official","note":"Official source for the $125M Macon precision-manufacturing facility and 500 jobs."},{"id":"pa_defense_summit_2026","label":"2026 Pennsylvania Defense and Innovation Summit","url":"https://www.mccormick.senate.gov/news/press-releases/senator-mccormick-announces-nearly-10-billion-in-new-investment-supporting-4000-pennsylvania-jobs-at-2026-pennsylvania-defense-and-innovation-summit-2/","tier":"official","note":"Official project list used to separate countable facility investment from contracts, orders, and strategic agreements."},{"id":"dol_apprenticeship_awards_2026","label":"U.S. DOL apprenticeship incentive awards","url":"https://www.dol.gov/newsroom/releases/eta/eta20260707","tier":"official","note":"Federal announcement for five cooperative agreements totaling nearly $162M, including FloridaCommerce's $40M award."},{"id":"dol_training_fund_tegl_02_25_change_1","label":"U.S. DOL Training Fund, TEGL 02-25 Change 1","url":"https://www.dol.gov/agencies/eta/advisories/tegl-02-25-change-1","tier":"official","note":"Official $40M national funding opportunity, including at least $5M for shipbuilding training; tracked as an opportunity rather than a Florida award."},{"id":"floridacommerce_dol_40m_2026","label":"FloridaCommerce $40M apprenticeship award","url":"https://floridajobs.org/news-center/DEO-Press/2026/07/08/u.s.-department-of-labor-awards--40-million-to-expand-registered-apprenticeships-in-florida","tier":"official","note":"Florida announcement for the defense, shipbuilding, and maritime manufacturing apprenticeship cooperative agreement."},{"id":"fl_job_growth_mar3_2026","label":"Florida Job Growth awards: aerospace and shipbuilding","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-awards-more-13-million-infrastructure-development-through","tier":"official","note":"Recipient-level source for Bay County, Port St. Joe, and Gulf County infrastructure awards."},{"id":"fl_job_growth_mar6_2026","label":"Florida Job Growth awards: Bradford and Nassau","url":"https://www.floridajobs.org/news-center/DEO-Press/2026/03/06/icymi--governor-ron-desantis-awards-more-than--9-million-for-workforce-and-infrastructure-development-and-announces-nassau-county-as-a-north-central-florida-rural-area-of-opportunity","tier":"official","note":"Recipient-level source for Bradford County workforce and Nassau County industrial-site infrastructure awards."},{"id":"fl_resilience_ian_may2026","label":"FloridaCommerce Hurricane Ian recovery awards","url":"https://www.floridajobs.org/news-center/DEO-Press/2026/05/20/floridacommerce-awards-more-than--10-million-for-hurricane-ian-recovery","tier":"official","note":"Recipient-level CDBG-DR resilience awards administered by FloridaCommerce."},{"id":"nsf_florida_semiconductor_engine","label":"NSF Florida Semiconductor Engine portfolio","url":"https://www.nsf.gov/funding/initiatives/regional-innovation-engines/portfolio/florida-semiconductor-engine","tier":"official","note":"Official program profile for geography, partners, talent coverage, and documented follow-on capital."},{"id":"nsf_award_2315320","label":"NSF award 2315320","url":"https://www.nsf.gov/awardsearch/showAward?AWD_ID=2315320","tier":"official","note":"Federal award record used for recipient, period of performance, assistance listing, and current obligations."},{"id":"fl_budget_fy2627","label":"Florida FY 2026-27 budget signing","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-signs-florida-fiscal-year-2026-2027-budget-capping-eight","tier":"official","note":"Appropriation context used to keep program capacity separate from named awards."},{"id":"fl_defense_grant_cycle_2026","label":"Florida defense grant application cycle","url":"https://floridajobs.org/news/detail/2026/06/10/floridacommerce-announces-opening-of-application-cycle-for-defense-reinvestment-grant-and-florida-defense-support-commission-grant-programs","tier":"official","note":"Open-opportunity context; no recipient award is counted from the application announcement."},{"id":"fsu_caps_navsea_2026","label":"FSU CAPS NAVSEA contract","url":"https://news.fsu.edu/news/science-technology/2026/07/15/fsu-research-center-secures-88m-navy-contract-to-support-development-of-future-naval-ship-power-systems/","tier":"official","note":"Contract context used to prevent procurement revenue from being classified as grant assistance."},{"id":"tx_tsif_program","label":"Texas Semiconductor Innovation Fund","url":"https://gov.texas.gov/business/page/tsif","tier":"official","note":"Program authority and appropriation context for Texas's standing semiconductor finance tool."},{"id":"tx_tsif_samsung","label":"Texas TSIF award to Samsung","url":"https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-announces-texas-semiconductor-innovation-fund-grant-to-samsung-austin-semiconductor","tier":"official","note":"Recipient-level source for the $250M grant and $4.73B company investment."},{"id":"tx_tsif_coherent","label":"Texas TSIF award to Coherent","url":"https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-announces-texas-semiconductor-innovation-fund-grant-to-coherent","tier":"official","note":"Recipient-level source for the $14.076M grant and more than $154M company investment."},{"id":"tx_tsif_arm","label":"Texas TSIF award to Arm","url":"https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-announces-texas-semiconductor-innovation-fund-grant-to-arm-inc","tier":"official","note":"Recipient-level source for the $4.163M grant, company investment, and jobs commitment."},{"id":"tx_tsif_ltd","label":"Texas TSIF award to LTD Material","url":"https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-announces-texas-semiconductor-innovation-fund-grant-to-ltd-material","tier":"official","note":"Recipient-level source for the $1.007M supplier grant, company investment, and jobs commitment."},{"id":"tx_tsif_tstc","label":"Texas TSIF award to Texas State Technical College","url":"https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-announces-texas-semiconductor-innovation-fund-grant-to-texas-state-technical-college","tier":"official","note":"Recipient-level source for the $3.5M accelerated semiconductor technician-training award."},{"id":"portmiami","label":"PortMiami cargo statistics","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/portmiami/cargo.page","tier":"official","note":"Official gateway metrics for tonnage, TEUs, and Americas trade capacity."},{"id":"port_everglades","label":"Port Everglades cargo statistics","url":"https://www.porteverglades.net/about-us/statistics/cargo-statistics/","tier":"official","note":"Official cargo and refrigerated-container metrics for the South Florida logistics layer."},{"id":"fc100_ambition_accelerated","label":"Florida Council of 100 Ambition Accelerated","url":"https://ambitionaccelerated.com/","tier":"benchmark","note":"Business-led ambition frame for Florida's next-economy strategy."},{"id":"florida_chamber_income_migration","label":"Florida Chamber income migration analysis","url":"https://www.flchamber.com/breaking-news-income-migration-to-florida-remains-above-4m-per-hour-significantly-more-than-any-other-state/","tier":"benchmark","note":"Canonical public source for the $4M-plus per hour net income-migration frame."},{"id":"florida_taxwatch","label":"Florida TaxWatch","url":"https://floridataxwatch.org/","tier":"policy","note":"Florida fiscal and competitiveness research source for future policy memos."},{"id":"james_madison_institute","label":"James Madison Institute","url":"https://jamesmadison.org/","tier":"policy","note":"Florida economic-freedom and regulatory-policy source for future policy memos."}],"aiCapexIndex":{"label":"AI Capex Gap Index","score":15,"maxScore":25,"rating":"Watch","caveat":"Prototype editorial index. It is source-backed but not an official state score until Florida-specific MW pipeline, interconnection, power-price, and project-award data are wired.","metrics":[{"id":"florida-payroll-jump","label":"Florida payroll pulse","value":"+40,500","context":"April 2026 monthly nonfarm payroll change, largest among states","read":"The labor market is not collapsing. The better question is composition: are the new jobs part of the next capex cycle or mostly population-serving growth?","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026"]},{"id":"florida-unemployment-watch","label":"Unemployment warning light","value":"4.8%","context":"Florida April 2026 unemployment rate, up 1.1 percentage points year over year","read":"Florida is no longer telling a simple tight-labor-market story. Elevated unemployment beside a payroll jump demands a sector and wage-quality read.","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026"]},{"id":"texas-peer-spread","label":"Texas comparison","value":"4.3%","context":"Texas April 2026 unemployment rate","read":"Texas is not proof by itself, but it is the right peer to test whether power-heavy capex is converting into labor-market resilience.","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026"]},{"id":"dallas-absorption","label":"Dallas data-center absorption","value":"470.8 MW","context":"CBRE H2 2025 primary-market net absorption","read":"This is the concrete 'eating our lunch' benchmark: hyperscale demand is landing in measurable megawatts in Texas markets.","sourceIds":["cbre_h2_2025_data_centers"]},{"id":"global-ai-supercycle","label":"AI infrastructure supercycle","value":"$3T","context":"JLL estimate for total data-center investment over the next five years","read":"If the global capacity base nearly doubles by 2030, missing even a small slice is a real strategic opportunity cost.","sourceIds":["jll_2026_global_data_center_outlook"]}],"factors":[{"id":"demand-adjacency","label":"Demand adjacency","score":4,"maxScore":5,"read":"Florida has population, LATAM, aerospace, finance, and edge-inference use cases that make strategic compute plausible.","sourceIds":["jll_2026_global_data_center_outlook","portmiami","space_florida"]},{"id":"power-readiness","label":"Power readiness","score":2,"maxScore":5,"read":"The missing dataset is Florida-specific MW under construction, interconnection queue, power procurement, and self-supply capacity.","sourceIds":["cbre_h2_2025_data_centers","florida_senate_sb484"]},{"id":"project-visibility","label":"Project visibility","score":2,"maxScore":5,"read":"Florida can name aerospace wins clearly. It cannot yet show a comparable AI compute project ledger.","sourceIds":["blue_origin_florida","cbre_h2_2025_data_centers"]},{"id":"incentive-discipline","label":"Incentive discipline","score":4,"maxScore":5,"read":"SB 484 is directionally sound: no household subsidy for dumb load. The upgrade is a fast lane for strategic compute that pays its own way.","sourceIds":["florida_governor_sb484","florida_senate_sb484"]},{"id":"wage-conversion","label":"High-wage conversion","score":3,"maxScore":5,"read":"Business formation and migration are strong, but the terminal needs OEWS, QCEW, and cluster wage data to prove the wage curve is bending.","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026","fc100_ambition_accelerated"]}]},"highWageMonitor":{"headline":"The next scorecard is not job count. It is wage-quality conversion.","summary":"Florida can add jobs and still lose the next cycle if growth concentrates in lower-wage population services while AI, aerospace, chips, advanced logistics, and life-science capex land elsewhere.","metrics":[{"id":"information-jobs","label":"Information jobs","value":"Live BLS series","context":"Knowledge-work bench and AI-adjacent services","read":"If AI infrastructure is becoming a real Florida industry, information employment should stop behaving like a thin support sector.","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026"]},{"id":"construction-jobs","label":"Construction jobs","value":"Live BLS series","context":"Capex build-out proxy","read":"Data centers, aerospace factories, ports, and grid upgrades should first show up in construction and specialty-trade labor demand.","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026"]},{"id":"professional-services","label":"Professional services","value":"Live BLS series","context":"Managerial, technical, and advisory depth","read":"The Florida model needs headquarters, engineering, finance, legal, and operations work attached to the physical build-out.","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026"]}]},"forecasts":[{"id":"ai-capex-gap","claim":"Florida's unemployment softness may partly reflect under-capture of the AI infrastructure capex cycle, not just a normal labor-market cooldown.","horizon":"6 to 18 months","confidence":"medium","mechanism":"AI infrastructure first creates power, construction, engineering, and operations demand. If those projects land in Texas, Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, or Virginia instead of Florida, peer labor markets can look stronger even when Florida keeps winning migration.","leadingIndicators":["Announced megawatts and MW under construction by state","Large-load interconnection queue and utility tariff filings","Hyperscaler, neocloud, and colocation capex announcements","Construction, electrical-contractor, and utility-workforce demand"],"laggingIndicators":["Information employment","Construction payrolls","Professional and business services payrolls","Average weekly wages in target clusters"],"baseCase":"Florida remains a migration, formation, aerospace, and gateway state, but AI infrastructure stays under-measured and secondary.","ambitionCase":"Florida creates a strategic-compute lane tied to self-funded power, grid resilience, Space Coast, LATAM, health, and financial-services workloads.","riskCase":"Florida blocks or slows too much strategic compute while peers compound power, fiber, and high-wage operations ecosystems.","counterCase":"The unemployment increase is mainly labor-supply normalization and sector churn; Florida's monthly payroll gain shows demand is still broad enough.","updateTrigger":"Upgrade or downgrade the thesis when Florida-specific MW pipeline, utility tariff filings, or named AI infrastructure projects become source-visible.","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026","cbre_h2_2025_data_centers","jll_2026_global_data_center_outlook"]},{"id":"florida-model-export","claim":"The Florida model can travel if it is framed as a growth operating system: fiscal discipline, fast formation, migration pull, gateway assets, and strategic infrastructure.","horizon":"12 to 36 months","confidence":"medium","mechanism":"Other states and countries can copy pieces of Florida, but the exportable product is the sequencing: attract people and capital, protect taxpayers, then convert that demand into clusters with measurable wage outcomes.","leadingIndicators":["Business formation","Income migration","Cluster project ledger","Workforce placement into target sectors"],"laggingIndicators":["GDP per capita","Median wage growth","Target-cluster wage premium","State and local fiscal resilience"],"baseCase":"Florida Brain becomes a strong state dashboard and content engine for internal strategy.","ambitionCase":"Floridanomics becomes a reusable model for governors, chambers, economic developers, founders, and investors outside Florida.","riskCase":"The brand becomes boosterism if the dashboard cannot show the difference between population growth and productivity growth.","counterCase":"Florida's model may be too dependent on unique tax, weather, migration, and regional-gateway advantages to export cleanly.","updateTrigger":"Advance the export thesis only when the terminal can show source-linked playbooks, not just state pride.","sourceIds":["florida_chamber_income_migration","fc100_ambition_accelerated","florida_taxwatch","james_madison_institute"]}],"policyMemos":[{"id":"strategic-compute-not-dumb-load","title":"Strategic compute, not dumb load.","stance":"Florida should not subsidize hyperscale loads through household utility bills. It also should not confuse disciplined cost allocation with surrendering the AI infrastructure race.","whatChanged":"SB 484 makes the ratepayer line explicit: large-load customers pay their own cost of service, local governments keep authority, and utility risk should not be shifted to the public.","mechanism":"The policy problem is separating strategic compute that strengthens the grid, pays full freight, and creates high-wage work from passive load that raises costs without a local productivity payoff.","recommendation":"Create a Florida strategic-compute fast lane for projects that bring their own power or grid assets, cover full marginal cost, use reclaimed water where appropriate, disclose deal terms after exemption periods, and tie incentives to high-wage operations and Florida-specific workloads.","whatNotToDo":"Do not write blank checks, do not socialize utility costs, do not block every project, and do not copy Texas if the better Florida lane is edge, LATAM, Space Coast, health, finance, and resilient inference.","nextMoves":["Add Florida-specific MW pipeline and utility tariff tracker","Create a named project ledger for data centers, grid upgrades, and advanced manufacturing","Map strategic workloads to Space Coast, LATAM, health, finance, and emergency-resilience use cases"],"sourceIds":["florida_governor_sb484","florida_senate_sb484","cbre_h2_2025_data_centers","jll_2026_global_data_center_outlook"]},{"id":"wage-curve-scoreboard","title":"Make wage quality the referee.","stance":"The next Floridanomics product should judge policy by whether it bends the wage curve in target clusters, not whether it produces a bigger ribbon-cutting number.","whatChanged":"Florida can plausibly be both a strong jobs state and a state with warning lights. That contradiction is the product opportunity.","mechanism":"Population growth creates demand. Strategic capex creates productivity. The dashboard has to separate those two engines.","recommendation":"Wire OEWS, QCEW, workforce credentials, target occupations, and county-level wage outcomes into the terminal before declaring a cluster strategy successful.","whatNotToDo":"Do not let total jobs, startup counts, or migration dollars substitute for high-wage conversion.","nextMoves":["Add high-wage occupation basket by cluster","Track target-cluster wages versus state median","Connect education programs and credentials to employment outcomes"],"sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026","fc100_ambition_accelerated","florida_taxwatch","james_madison_institute"]}],"evidenceBlocks":[{"id":"exportable-model","title":"The exportable Florida model","briefCopy":"Florida's model is a growth flywheel: people move in, capital follows, formation accelerates, the tax base expands, and policy has to convert that demand into high-wage clusters without losing fiscal discipline.","exportUse":"Use this as the opening frame for a global Florida Model brief, investor deck, or governor-level policy memo.","sourceIds":["florida_chamber_income_migration","fc100_ambition_accelerated"]},{"id":"ai-capex-question","title":"The uncomfortable AI question","briefCopy":"Florida is winning people and payrolls, but the AI infrastructure boom is measured in megawatts, power procurement, construction pipelines, and high-wage operations. If that ledger is blank, it is not neutral.","exportUse":"Use this as the thesis paragraph for the AI Capex Gap briefing page and the next Florida Brain issue.","sourceIds":["bls_state_april_2026","cbre_h2_2025_data_centers","jll_2026_global_data_center_outlook"]},{"id":"discipline-frame","title":"The policy discipline frame","briefCopy":"The pro-growth answer is not subsidy or refusal. It is a disciplined market design: strategic compute pays full cost, strengthens infrastructure, and earns speed only when the public does not carry the bill.","exportUse":"Use this as the sound policy spine for op-eds, testimony, and chamber-facing memos.","sourceIds":["florida_governor_sb484","florida_senate_sb484"]},{"id":"physical-innovation","title":"Physical innovation is Florida's lane","briefCopy":"Florida's most distinctive innovation assets are physical: ports, launches, aerospace manufacturing, logistics, health, and energy-resilient edge demand. The dashboard should make that visible.","exportUse":"Use this to move Florida Brain beyond generic startup ecosystem coverage.","sourceIds":["space_florida","blue_origin_florida","portmiami","port_everglades"]}],"projectLedger":{"headline":"The announcement is the start. Conversion is the score.","summary":"A source-backed ledger of named strategic projects in Florida and competitor states, normalized so executives can compare disclosed capital, jobs, timing, and delivery stage without double-counting headline packages.","coverageNote":"Curated strategic-project coverage, not a complete census of statewide business investment. Totals include only disclosed capital tied to named facilities. Peer projects span four states and are not aggregated as a state-to-state ranking.","methodology":["Count disclosed investment only when it is tied to a named facility or expansion.","Exclude contracts, purchase orders, grants, aggregate pipelines, and public-program totals from project capex.","Treat announced and site-selected projects as pipeline; count only construction and operating stages as converted.","Count direct announced jobs in job totals; positions merely supported or retained remain visible but are excluded."],"context":[{"id":"space-florida-pipeline","label":"Florida aerospace pipeline","headline":"$6B across 220 projects","treatment":"Pipeline context only. It is not added to named-project capex because doing so would double count projects and mix undisclosed stages.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"pa-defense-summit","label":"Pennsylvania defense summit","headline":"Nearly $10B headline","treatment":"Context only. The headline combines facility investment with contracts, strategic agreements, and vessel orders; only named facility investments are eligible for ledger totals.","sourceIds":["pa_defense_summit_2026"]}],"projects":[{"id":"blue-origin-project-horizon","company":"Blue Origin","project":"Project Horizon upper-stage manufacturing facility","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Cape Canaveral / Space Coast","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":600,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":500,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":98000,"stage":"announced","stageDetail":"State announcement; Spaceport Improvement Program will support construction.","announcedDate":"2026-05-22","expectedOperationalDate":null,"facilityScale":"Estimated 830,000 square feet","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"Florida's clearest current proof that space infrastructure can convert into large-scale, high-wage advanced manufacturing.","sourceIds":["blue_origin_florida"]},{"id":"amazon-leo-processing","company":"Amazon Leo","project":"Satellite payload processing facility","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Cape Canaveral / Space Coast","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":120,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":130,"jobsQualifier":"minimum","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"operational","stageDetail":"Payload processing facility is operational at the Launch and Landing Facility.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":"2025-12-31","facilityScale":null,"lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"An operating facility with disclosed capital and employment is stronger evidence than a pipeline announcement.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"amazon-leo-expansion","company":"Amazon Leo","project":"Payload processing expansion","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Cape Canaveral / Space Coast","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":19.5,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":null,"jobsQualifier":"undisclosed","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"under_construction","stageDetail":"Expansion reported underway following the first production launch.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":null,"facilityScale":null,"lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"A small but measurable follow-on investment indicates that the original facility is generating a second capital cycle.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"aura-aero-daytona","company":"AURA AERO","project":"Hybrid-electric aircraft manufacturing and assembly plant","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Daytona Beach","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":172.5,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":1030,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"site_selected","stageDetail":"Daytona Beach selected; production target is 2029.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":"2029-12-31","facilityScale":"500,000 square feet; up to 100 aircraft annually","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"A major aerospace jobs commitment, but the long delivery horizon makes construction milestones the critical next proof point.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"bae-jacksonville-shiplift","company":"BAE Systems","project":"Jacksonville shiplift and land-level ship repair facility","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Jacksonville","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Defense & Maritime","capexUsdMillions":250,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":null,"jobsQualifier":"undisclosed","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"operational","stageDetail":"Facility opened and began operating in 2025.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":"2025-12-31","facilityScale":"25,000-ton shiplift; triples dry-dock capacity","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"This is the kind of defense-industrial asset Florida should replicate through a dedicated statewide defense finance and development authority.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"blue-origin-lunar-production","company":"Blue Origin","project":"Lunar production facility","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Cape Canaveral / Space Coast","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":9.25,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":null,"jobsQualifier":"undisclosed","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"operational","stageDetail":"Completed in September 2025.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":"2025-09-30","facilityScale":"Lunar vehicle assembly for New Glenn","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"Smaller capital, but strategically important because it adds lunar systems work to Florida's launch and manufacturing stack.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"boeing-embry-riddle-center","company":"Boeing and Embry-Riddle","project":"Engineering center","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Daytona Beach","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":null,"amountQualifier":"undisclosed","jobsAnnounced":400,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"operational","stageDetail":"Facility is supporting defense and space engineering, R&D, and prototyping.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":"2025-12-31","facilityScale":"65,000 square feet","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"The capital amount is missing, but the engineering-job density makes this a talent and innovation asset worth tracking.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"leonardo-florida-support-center","company":"Leonardo","project":"Florida helicopter support center","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Santa Rosa County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Defense & Maritime","capexUsdMillions":65,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":150,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"operational","stageDetail":"Support center is serving U.S. Navy, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard fleets.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":"2025-12-31","facilityScale":"Helicopter maintenance and support center","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"Florida is converting military presence into sustainment work, but the state needs a larger pipeline of manufacturing and systems integration projects.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"spacex-gigabay-starship","company":"SpaceX","project":"Gigabay and Starship launch operations","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Cape Canaveral / Space Coast","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":1800,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":600,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"under_construction","stageDetail":"Integration facility is under construction; completion expected in 2026.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":"2026-12-31","facilityScale":"815,000 square feet","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"Florida's largest named converted project in this ledger and the anchor for measuring whether space growth broadens beyond launch cadence.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"williams-international-okaloosa","company":"Williams International","project":"Aviation gas-turbine manufacturing campus","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Okaloosa County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":1000,"amountQualifier":"minimum","jobsAnnounced":330,"jobsQualifier":"minimum","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"site_selected","stageDetail":"Multi-phase campus announced; first phase targeted for late 2026.","announcedDate":"2025-01-01","expectedOperationalDate":"2026-12-31","facilityScale":"First phase 250,000 square feet","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"A billion-dollar manufacturing campus could deepen Northwest Florida's defense supply chain if the first phase converts on schedule.","sourceIds":["space_florida"]},{"id":"saronic-port-alpha","company":"Saronic","project":"Port Alpha next-generation shipyard","stateId":"TX","state":"Texas","geography":"Brownsville","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Defense & Maritime","capexUsdMillions":3000,"amountQualifier":"minimum","jobsAnnounced":10000,"jobsQualifier":"minimum","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"site_selected","stageDetail":"Brownsville selected after a nationwide search; construction anticipated in 2026.","announcedDate":"2026-07-16","expectedOperationalDate":"2028-12-31","facilityScale":"835-acre initial site, expandable to nearly 4,400 acres","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"This is the scale Florida is currently missing in defense: a generational production platform, not a small award or isolated supplier win.","sourceIds":["saronic_port_alpha"]},{"id":"jetzero-greensboro","company":"JetZero","project":"Commercial aircraft manufacturing facility","stateId":"NC","state":"North Carolina","geography":"Greensboro / Piedmont Triad","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Aerospace & Space","capexUsdMillions":4700,"amountQualifier":"minimum","jobsAnnounced":14500,"jobsQualifier":"minimum","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"under_construction","stageDetail":"Groundbreaking held June 15, 2026.","announcedDate":"2025-06-12","expectedOperationalDate":null,"facilityScale":"Flagship commercial airplane manufacturing operation","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"North Carolina is converting an aerospace recruitment into construction at a scale that can reshape a regional labor market.","sourceIds":["nc_jetzero_groundbreaking"]},{"id":"abbvie-durham-campus","company":"AbbVie","project":"Biopharmaceutical manufacturing campus","stateId":"NC","state":"North Carolina","geography":"Durham","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Life Sciences","capexUsdMillions":1400,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":734,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":118041,"stage":"announced","stageDetail":"New campus announced with a state Job Development Investment Grant.","announcedDate":"2026-04-22","expectedOperationalDate":null,"facilityScale":"185-acre advanced manufacturing and laboratory campus","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"This is the life-sciences equivalent of Blue Origin: disclosed capital, high wages, research adjacency, and a production platform in one project.","sourceIds":["nc_abbvie_durham"]},{"id":"ucb-rowen-biologics","company":"UCB","project":"U.S. biologics manufacturing facility","stateId":"GA","state":"Georgia","geography":"Gwinnett County / Rowen","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Life Sciences","capexUsdMillions":2000,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":330,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"site_selected","stageDetail":"Georgia selected for UCB's first U.S. pharmaceutical biologics manufacturing facility.","announcedDate":"2026-03-24","expectedOperationalDate":null,"facilityScale":"Located at Rowen's 2,000-acre science and learning campus","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"Georgia is using a purpose-built innovation district to land a multi-billion-dollar life-sciences anchor that Florida does not yet match.","sourceIds":["ga_ucb_biologics"]},{"id":"unified-legacy-macon","company":"Unified Legacy","project":"Precision manufacturing facility","stateId":"GA","state":"Georgia","geography":"Macon-Bibb County","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Defense & Maritime","capexUsdMillions":125,"amountQualifier":"exact","jobsAnnounced":500,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"site_selected","stageDetail":"Site announced; construction expected to begin in 2026.","announcedDate":"2026-05-15","expectedOperationalDate":null,"facilityScale":"Advanced machining, welding, and fabrication","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"Georgia is stacking defense suppliers beneath its larger anchors, which is how sector depth compounds.","sourceIds":["ga_unified_legacy"]},{"id":"attalon-pittsburgh","company":"Attalon","project":"Advanced manufacturing facility","stateId":"PA","state":"Pennsylvania","geography":"Pittsburgh","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Defense & Maritime","capexUsdMillions":30,"amountQualifier":"minimum","jobsAnnounced":100,"jobsQualifier":"exact","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"announced","stageDetail":"Facility announced for a 2027 opening.","announcedDate":"2026-07-15","expectedOperationalDate":"2027-12-31","facilityScale":"Advanced manufacturing facility","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"The capex is modest, but the project is a clean facility investment and therefore belongs in the ledger unlike the summit's contracts and orders.","sourceIds":["pa_defense_summit_2026"]},{"id":"lockheed-archbald-expansion","company":"Lockheed Martin","project":"Archbald manufacturing expansion","stateId":"PA","state":"Pennsylvania","geography":"Archbald","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Defense & Maritime","capexUsdMillions":60,"amountQualifier":"minimum","jobsAnnounced":700,"jobsQualifier":"supports","averageWageUsd":null,"stage":"announced","stageDetail":"New capital investment announced for the Archbald facility.","announcedDate":"2026-07-15","expectedOperationalDate":null,"facilityScale":"Site modernization and expansion","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","strategicRead":"The investment is countable capex; the 700 positions are shown as supported, not incorrectly labeled as newly created jobs.","sourceIds":["pa_defense_summit_2026"]}]},"governmentGrantsLedger":{"headline":"Public capital is only useful when it builds strategic capacity.","summary":"A decision ledger of named government grant and cooperative-agreement awards in Florida and competitor states, normalized by funding source, recipient, delivery status, and documented economic leverage.","coverageNote":"Curated strategic-award coverage from 2024 through 2026, not a complete accounting of government assistance. Totals include only official named awards. Appropriations, open opportunities, contracts, and multi-award program headlines remain visible as context but are never added to award totals.","methodology":["Count an item only after an official source names the recipient and award amount.","Separate the government source of funds from the agency administering a pass-through award.","Exclude appropriations, application cycles, procurement contracts, loans, tax incentives, and aggregate program capacity from award totals.","Use current obligations for active federal awards when available; do not count a possible multi-year ceiling as money awarded.","Count documented private or non-award capital as leverage only when an official award announcement provides the amount."],"context":[{"id":"fl-job-growth-appropriation-2027","category":"appropriation","label":"Florida Job Growth Grant Fund","headline":"$40M appropriated","treatment":"FY 2026-27 program capacity, not a recipient award. Individual Job Growth awards enter the ledger only after the Governor names a recipient and amount.","sourceIds":["fl_budget_fy2627"]},{"id":"fl-defense-grant-cycle-2026","category":"opportunity","label":"Florida defense grant cycle","headline":"Applications open","treatment":"The Defense Reinvestment and Florida Defense Support Commission application cycle is an opportunity, not an award. Future selections should be added recipient by recipient.","sourceIds":["fl_defense_grant_cycle_2026"]},{"id":"dol-shipbuilding-opportunity-2026","category":"opportunity","label":"Separate DOL shipbuilding competition","headline":"$40M national opportunity","treatment":"This open national funding opportunity is distinct from FloridaCommerce's $40M cooperative agreement. Combining them would count unawarded money as a Florida win.","sourceIds":["dol_training_fund_tegl_02_25_change_1"]},{"id":"fsu-caps-navsea-contract","category":"contract","label":"FSU CAPS naval power systems","headline":"$88M Navy contract","treatment":"Strategically important Florida defense work, but procurement revenue is not grant assistance and belongs in a future government-contract ledger.","sourceIds":["fsu_caps_navsea_2026"]},{"id":"texas-tsif-program-capacity","category":"appropriation","label":"Texas Semiconductor Innovation Fund","headline":"$948M program capacity","treatment":"The roughly $948M reflects legislative appropriations, not awards. This is still a critical institutional benchmark: Texas has a standing, industry-specific capital tool that Florida does not yet match.","sourceIds":["tx_tsif_program"]}],"awards":[{"id":"floridacommerce-dol-apprenticeships-2026","recipient":"Florida Department of Commerce","recipientType":"state_agency","fundingAgency":"U.S. Department of Labor","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce, CareerSource Florida and the State Workforce Development Board","program":"Pay-for-Performance Incentive Payments Program","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Statewide and nationwide delivery","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Defense Workforce","fundingType":"cooperative_agreement","fundingLevel":"federal","awardAmountUsdMillions":40,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"Award announced; Florida is designing employer incentive payments for registered apprenticeships in defense, shipbuilding, and maritime manufacturing.","awardDate":"2026-07-07","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"This is Florida's largest recent named strategic workforce award, but success depends on employer uptake, apprenticeship completions, wage gains, and conversion into production capacity rather than the headline alone.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["dol_apprenticeship_awards_2026","floridacommerce_dol_40m_2026"]},{"id":"nsf-florida-semiconductor-engine","recipient":"ICAMR, Inc.","recipientType":"nonprofit","fundingAgency":"U.S. National Science Foundation","administeringAgency":null,"program":"Florida Semiconductor Engine","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"23-county Central Florida region","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Semiconductors","fundingType":"cooperative_agreement","fundingLevel":"federal","awardAmountUsdMillions":29.938672,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":23,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"active","stageDetail":"NSF award 2315320 is active through February 2029; the ledger uses current federal obligations rather than the Engine's possible ten-year ceiling.","awardDate":"2024-03-01","performanceEndDate":"2029-02-28","assistanceListing":"47.084","awardId":"2315320","countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"Florida has a real semiconductor institution with a statewide talent pathway and documented follow-on capital. The next test is whether it converts research and supplier activity into large private manufacturing commitments.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["nsf_florida_semiconductor_engine","nsf_award_2315320"]},{"id":"panama-city-airport-engine-facility","recipient":"Panama City-Bay County Airport and Industrial District","recipientType":"local_government","fundingAgency":"State of Florida","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce","program":"Florida Job Growth Grant Fund","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Bay County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Aerospace Infrastructure","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":5,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":400,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"Infrastructure award supports a 160,000-square-foot aircraft engine repair and testing facility.","awardDate":"2026-03-03","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"A relatively small infrastructure award is tied to a clear advanced-industry facility and 400 projected jobs; construction and hiring milestones should now be tracked.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["fl_job_growth_mar3_2026"]},{"id":"port-st-joe-industrial-access","recipient":"City of Port St. Joe","recipientType":"local_government","fundingAgency":"State of Florida","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce","program":"Florida Job Growth Grant Fund","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Gulf County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Industrial Infrastructure","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":2.250709,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":190,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"Road and workforce-housing infrastructure is intended to unlock industrial growth near the Port of Port St. Joe.","awardDate":"2026-03-03","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"The award addresses enabling infrastructure around an industrial site, but the named private project and follow-on capital remain the evidence gap.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["fl_job_growth_mar3_2026"]},{"id":"gulf-county-eastern-shipbuilding-dry-dock","recipient":"Gulf County Board of County Commissioners","recipientType":"local_government","fundingAgency":"State of Florida","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce","program":"Florida Job Growth Grant Fund","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Gulf County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Defense and Maritime","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":6,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":337,"jobsRetained":125,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"Award supports a self-docking floating dry dock and mooring infrastructure at Eastern Shipbuilding Group.","awardDate":"2026-03-03","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"This is the most direct current example of Florida using public infrastructure capital to deepen shipbuilding capacity, though it is far smaller than the permanent sector tools deployed by leading peers.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["fl_job_growth_mar3_2026"]},{"id":"bradford-county-cdl-facility","recipient":"Bradford County School District","recipientType":"local_government","fundingAgency":"State of Florida","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce","program":"Florida Job Growth Grant Fund","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Bradford County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Logistics Workforce","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":3,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"Award supports a commercial driver's license training facility serving North Central Florida.","awardDate":"2026-03-06","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"Useful workforce capacity, but an executive scorecard should test completions, employer placement, wages, and whether the training supports strategic logistics and industrial projects.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["fl_job_growth_mar6_2026"]},{"id":"nassau-county-industrial-roadway","recipient":"Nassau County Board of County Commissioners","recipientType":"local_government","fundingAgency":"State of Florida","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce","program":"Florida Job Growth Grant Fund","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Nassau County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Industrial Infrastructure","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":6,"amountQualifier":"minimum","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"More than $6 million supports a roadway network serving an industrial and commercial development site.","awardDate":"2026-03-06","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"The grant creates site readiness, but the ledger should not infer private investment or jobs until a named company commitment is verified.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["fl_job_growth_mar6_2026"]},{"id":"charlotte-county-resilience-award","recipient":"Charlotte County","recipientType":"local_government","fundingAgency":"U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce","program":"CDBG-Disaster Recovery Hazard Mitigation Grant Program Match","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Charlotte County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Resilience Infrastructure","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"federal","awardAmountUsdMillions":8.215995,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"Disaster-recovery funds support a public-safety safe room and generators for critical facilities.","awardDate":"2026-05-20","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"Resilience capital protects the economic base and continuity of government, but it should be measured separately from business-attraction incentives.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["fl_resilience_ian_may2026"]},{"id":"manatee-county-resilience-award","recipient":"Manatee County","recipientType":"local_government","fundingAgency":"U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce","program":"CDBG-Disaster Recovery Hazard Mitigation Grant Program Match","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"Manatee County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Resilience Infrastructure","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"federal","awardAmountUsdMillions":1.01552,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"Disaster-recovery funds support generators for critical public facilities.","awardDate":"2026-05-20","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"This is defensive infrastructure capital: economically necessary, but not evidence of new strategic-industry investment.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["fl_resilience_ian_may2026"]},{"id":"st-johns-schools-resilience-award","recipient":"St. Johns County School District","recipientType":"local_government","fundingAgency":"U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development","administeringAgency":"FloridaCommerce","program":"CDBG-Disaster Recovery Hazard Mitigation Grant Program Match","stateId":"FL","state":"Florida","geography":"St. Johns County","isFlorida":true,"sector":"Resilience Infrastructure","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"federal","awardAmountUsdMillions":1.029433,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"Disaster-recovery funds support emergency generators at school facilities.","awardDate":"2026-05-20","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"The award strengthens continuity and shelter capacity; it should not be presented as a business-investment win.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["fl_resilience_ian_may2026"]},{"id":"tx-tsif-samsung-2025","recipient":"Samsung Austin Semiconductor","recipientType":"business","fundingAgency":"State of Texas","administeringAgency":"Office of the Texas Governor","program":"Texas Semiconductor Innovation Fund","stateId":"TX","state":"Texas","geography":"Taylor","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Semiconductors","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":250,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":4730,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"TSIF grant supports Samsung's advanced semiconductor manufacturing expansion in Taylor.","awardDate":"2025-09-17","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"One Texas sector-specific award is more than twice the disclosed total of the Florida awards in this curated ledger and is tied to $4.73 billion of company investment.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["tx_tsif_samsung"]},{"id":"tx-tsif-coherent-2026","recipient":"Coherent Corp.","recipientType":"business","fundingAgency":"State of Texas","administeringAgency":"Office of the Texas Governor","program":"Texas Semiconductor Innovation Fund","stateId":"TX","state":"Texas","geography":"Sherman","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Semiconductors","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":14.076031,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":154,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"TSIF grant supports a semiconductor materials expansion with more than $154 million in capital investment.","awardDate":"2026-02-06","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"Texas is using a repeatable specialist fund to compound an existing semiconductor cluster, not waiting for a general-purpose economic development program to fit the project.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["tx_tsif_coherent"]},{"id":"tx-tsif-arm-2026","recipient":"Arm, Inc.","recipientType":"business","fundingAgency":"State of Texas","administeringAgency":"Office of the Texas Governor","program":"Texas Semiconductor Innovation Fund","stateId":"TX","state":"Texas","geography":"Austin","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Semiconductors","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":4.16255,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":71,"jobsCreated":320,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"TSIF grant supports an Austin expansion with more than $71 million in capital investment and more than 320 new jobs.","awardDate":"2026-02-12","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"The grant combines design talent, company capital, and a named jobs commitment, showing that sector tools can target both fabrication and the higher-value semiconductor stack.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["tx_tsif_arm"]},{"id":"tx-tsif-ltd-material-2026","recipient":"LTD Material, LLC","recipientType":"business","fundingAgency":"State of Texas","administeringAgency":"Office of the Texas Governor","program":"Texas Semiconductor Innovation Fund","stateId":"TX","state":"Texas","geography":"Leander","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Semiconductors","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":1.007074,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":25,"jobsCreated":40,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"TSIF grant supports a semiconductor equipment and services expansion with more than $25 million in capital investment.","awardDate":"2026-01-29","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"Texas is filling supplier-chain gaps with smaller awards as well as anchoring megaprojects, an important model for cluster depth.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["tx_tsif_ltd"]},{"id":"tx-tsif-tstc-workforce-2026","recipient":"Texas State Technical College","recipientType":"university","fundingAgency":"State of Texas","administeringAgency":"Office of the Texas Governor","program":"Texas Semiconductor Innovation Fund","stateId":"TX","state":"Texas","geography":"Statewide","isFlorida":false,"sector":"Semiconductor Workforce","fundingType":"grant","fundingLevel":"state","awardAmountUsdMillions":3.5,"amountQualifier":"exact","leveragedCapitalUsdMillions":null,"jobsCreated":null,"jobsRetained":null,"stage":"awarded","stageDetail":"TSIF grant supports accelerated semiconductor technician training.","awardDate":"2026-01-08","performanceEndDate":null,"assistanceListing":null,"awardId":null,"countInTotals":true,"strategicRead":"The same specialist fund finances both company projects and the talent system, creating a coordinated portfolio rather than disconnected awards.","lastVerifiedDate":"2026-07-17","sourceIds":["tx_tsif_tstc"]}]}},"scorecard2030":{"eyebrow":"Florida 2030 trajectory","title":"The Florida Chamber scoreboard says the state is bigger, richer, and still short of its 2030 finish line.","summary":"This section brings the Florida Scorecard into the app as a real source. It ties the size of the current economy to the state's explicit 2030 targets instead of leaving the growth thesis as generic branding.","stats":[{"label":"Gross domestic product","value":"$1.87T","context":"Florida Scorecard statewide GDP, improving","source":{"label":"Florida Scorecard GDP","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"}},{"label":"Global economy rank","value":"15th","context":"If Florida were a country, based on a 2024 GDP baseline of $1.73T","source":{"label":"World Bank GDP data","url":"https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/all/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?format=json&per_page=400&mrnev=1"},"note":"Inference: Florida's 2024 GDP baseline of $1.73T sits between Australia and Spain in the World Bank's 2024 current-dollar country table."},{"label":"2030 jobs gap","value":"786,378","context":"Net new jobs needed by 2030, State of Florida FutureCast","source":{"label":"Florida Scorecard FutureCast","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"}},{"label":"Business startups","value":"61,334","context":"March 2026, ranked #1 nationally","source":{"label":"Florida Scorecard startups","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"}},{"label":"Income migration","value":"$4M+ / hr","context":"Florida Chamber Foundation annual net income migration frame","source":{"label":"Florida Chamber wealth migration","url":"https://www.flchamber.com/breaking-news-income-migration-to-florida-remains-above-4m-per-hour-significantly-more-than-any-other-state/"},"note":"The Chamber's $36.05B annual figure annualizes to more than $4M per hour. The Scorecard currently shows a lower IRS-based hourly figure without a public note explaining the gap."}],"interpretation":["The scorecard matters because it turns the Florida thesis into a scoreboard with explicit finish lines. Florida is already enormous, but the gap between rank 4 state GDP today and a number-one ambition by 2030 is still real.","The cleanest growth signal in this stack is not a vibe metric. It is business formation staying first nationally while the Chamber's public migration frame still clears four million dollars per hour into the state."],"sources":[{"label":"Florida Scorecard, statewide innovation and economic development metrics","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"},{"label":"Florida Scorecard, State of Florida FutureCast","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"},{"label":"Florida Chamber Foundation income migration analysis","url":"https://www.flchamber.com/breaking-news-income-migration-to-florida-remains-above-4m-per-hour-significantly-more-than-any-other-state/"},{"label":"World Bank GDP current US dollars API","url":"https://api.worldbank.org/v2/country/all/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD?format=json&per_page=400&mrnev=1"}]},"distinctives":{"snowbirdIndex":{"eyebrow":"Snowbird index proxy","title":"Seasonal wealth migration is not a tourism story. This is a proxy until the Q4/Q1 snowbird series is wired.","summary":"This proxy build uses Florida Chamber migration metrics and retirement-county pull to show why the state keeps carrying housing, health care, and infrastructure pressure even when payroll growth softens.","stats":[{"label":"State income migration","value":"$4M+ / hr","context":"Florida Chamber Foundation annual net income migration frame","source":{"label":"Florida Chamber wealth migration","url":"https://www.flchamber.com/breaking-news-income-migration-to-florida-remains-above-4m-per-hour-significantly-more-than-any-other-state/"},"note":"The Chamber's $36.05B annual figure annualizes to more than $4M per hour. The Scorecard currently shows a lower IRS-based hourly figure without a public note explaining the gap."},{"label":"Collier pull","value":"$2.32B / yr","context":"Collier County income migration, Florida Scorecard","source":{"label":"Collier County Scorecard","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"}},{"label":"Sumter pull","value":"$711.22M / yr","context":"Sumter County income migration, Florida Scorecard","source":{"label":"Sumter County Scorecard","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"}},{"label":"2030 population range","value":"24.9M to 25.9M","context":"Statewide 2030 range, State of Florida FutureCast","source":{"label":"Florida Scorecard FutureCast","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"}}],"interpretation":["Florida's seasonal population story shows up as capital first. When Collier and Sumter pull that much income, the downstream pressure hits insurance, health care, housing supply, and local roads long before it shows up in a beach photo.","This is not a Miami-only story. The retirement counties help explain why statewide demand stays hot even when payroll momentum cools."],"sources":[{"label":"Florida Chamber Foundation income migration analysis","url":"https://www.flchamber.com/breaking-news-income-migration-to-florida-remains-above-4m-per-hour-significantly-more-than-any-other-state/"},{"label":"Florida Scorecard, Collier County metrics","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"},{"label":"Florida Scorecard, Sumter County metrics","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"},{"label":"Florida Scorecard, State of Florida FutureCast","url":"https://thefloridascorecard.org/"}]},"spaceCoastCadence":{"eyebrow":"Space Coast cadence","title":"Florida's innovation story is physical before it is financial.","summary":"Launches, spaceport investment, and aerospace build-out are all rising in the same corridor. This is the part of the Florida innovation thesis that generic startup dashboards usually miss.","stats":[{"label":"Launches in 2025","value":"109","context":"Record-breaking 2025 launch count, Space Florida","source":{"label":"Space Florida launch update","url":"https://www.spaceflorida.gov/news/space-florida-drives-major-wins-for-the-global-aerospace-industry"}},{"label":"Aerospace pipeline","value":"$6B","context":"220-project pipeline, Space Florida 2025 readout","source":{"label":"Space Florida pipeline update","url":"https://www.spaceflorida.gov/news/space-florida-drives-major-wins-for-the-global-aerospace-industry"}},{"label":"Economic impact","value":"$5.9B","context":"Space Florida impact since 2007","source":{"label":"Space Florida FAQ","url":"https://www.spaceflorida.gov/frequently-asked-questions"}},{"label":"Blue Origin expansion","value":"$600M","context":"Cape Canaveral manufacturing project announced May 22, 2026","source":{"label":"Florida governor announcement","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-announces-600m-blue-origin-manufacturing-expansion-500-high"}}],"interpretation":["The Space Coast matters because it turns aerospace from a branding asset into an operating system for manufacturing, dual-use, and infrastructure spending.","When launch cadence, project pipeline, and factory investment all rise together, Florida stops looking like a tourism economy with rockets on the side."],"sources":[{"label":"Space Florida 2025 aerospace pipeline and launch update","url":"https://www.spaceflorida.gov/news/space-florida-drives-major-wins-for-the-global-aerospace-industry"},{"label":"Space Florida economic impact FAQ","url":"https://www.spaceflorida.gov/frequently-asked-questions"},{"label":"Florida governor announcement on Blue Origin's Cape Canaveral expansion","url":"https://www.flgov.com/eog/news/press/2026/governor-ron-desantis-announces-600m-blue-origin-manufacturing-expansion-500-high"},{"label":"Reuters on Blue Origin's Cape Canaveral expansion","url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/blue-origin-expand-florida-campus-with-new-600-million-facility-2026-05-22/"}]},"latamGateway":{"eyebrow":"LATAM gateway","title":"Florida's gateway claim is physical, not rhetorical.","summary":"The South Florida trade corridor is doing real freight work for Latin America and the Caribbean. This section brings PortMiami and Port Everglades into the trade story instead of treating the gateway line as a slogan.","stats":[{"label":"PortMiami tonnage","value":"10.1M tons","context":"FY2024 total tonnage, official PortMiami snapshot","source":{"label":"PortMiami cargo stats","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/portmiami/cargo.page"}},{"label":"PortMiami container flow","value":"1.09M TEUs","context":"FY2024 TEUs, official PortMiami snapshot","source":{"label":"PortMiami cargo stats","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/portmiami/cargo.page"}},{"label":"LATAM + Caribbean share","value":"Almost 50%","context":"PortMiami regional trade share, FY2025","source":{"label":"PortMiami overall statistics PDF","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/resources-port/documents/portmiami-main-overall-statistics.pdf"}},{"label":"Port Everglades refrigerated cargo","value":"126,392 TEUs","context":"FY2024 refrigerated cargo leader in Florida","source":{"label":"Port Everglades cargo statistics","url":"https://www.porteverglades.net/about-us/statistics/cargo-statistics/"}},{"label":"Port Everglades container flow","value":"1.09M TEUs","context":"FY2024 official cargo statistics","source":{"label":"Port Everglades cargo statistics","url":"https://www.porteverglades.net/about-us/statistics/cargo-statistics/"}}],"interpretation":["PortMiami says almost half of its trade is tied to Latin America and the Caribbean, while Port Everglades is moving more than a million TEUs and leading Florida in refrigerated cargo. The gateway thesis is sitting on the dock, not in a keynote deck.","That matters because South Florida wins on adjacency. The same corridor handles containers, perishables, finance, and commercial relationships that keep Florida plugged into the Americas."],"sources":[{"label":"PortMiami cargo and historical snapshot","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/portmiami/cargo.page"},{"label":"PortMiami overall statistics PDF","url":"https://www.miamidade.gov/resources-port/documents/portmiami-main-overall-statistics.pdf"},{"label":"Port Everglades cargo statistics","url":"https://www.porteverglades.net/about-us/statistics/cargo-statistics/"}]}},"trade":{"headline":"Florida Exports Hit $78.9B in 2025 - Largest Year in History","asOf":"Calendar Year 2025","releaseDate":"2026-05-20","releaseTitle":"Florida Businesses Set Record High Export Sales in 2025","releaseUrl":"https://www.floridajobs.org/news-center/DEO-Press/floridacommerce-press-2026/2026/04/01/florida-businesses-set-record-high-export-sales-in-2025","heroMetrics":[{"id":"totalExports","label":"Total Florida Exports (2025)","value":78.9,"unit":"usd_billions","helper":"Largest export year in Florida history"},{"id":"manufacturedExports","label":"Manufactured Exports","value":72.2,"unit":"usd_billions","helper":"92% of all Florida-grown / Florida-made exports"},{"id":"bilateralTrade","label":"Bilateral Trade via FL Ports + Airports","value":205,"unit":"usd_billions","helper":"Record level, +4.2% YoY, +33.3% vs 2018"},{"id":"selectFloridaFy","label":"SelectFlorida-Generated Exports (FY24-25)","value":1.9,"unit":"usd_billions","helper":"Record fiscal year, +$500M YoY"}],"deltas":[{"id":"oneYear","label":"vs 2024","absolute":6.4,"percent":8.9,"baseLabel":"2024 total: $72.5B"},{"id":"sevenYear","label":"vs 2018","absolute":21.6,"percent":37.8,"baseLabel":"2018 total: $57.3B"},{"id":"fiscalYear","label":"SelectFlorida FY24-25 vs FY23-24","absolute":0.5,"percent":35.7,"baseLabel":"FY23-24: $1.4B"},{"id":"mfgShare","label":"Manufactured Export Share","absolute":null,"percent":92,"baseLabel":"92% of all FL-origin exports are manufactured products"}],"topMarkets":[{"rank":1,"country":"Brazil","region":"LATAM"},{"rank":2,"country":"Mexico","region":"LATAM"},{"rank":3,"country":"Canada","region":"North America"},{"rank":4,"country":"Germany","region":"Europe"},{"rank":5,"country":"Colombia","region":"LATAM"}],"topCategories":[{"rank":1,"label":"Civilian Aircraft & Parts","valueUsdBillions":12.8},{"rank":2,"label":"Telephones","valueUsdBillions":5.7},{"rank":3,"label":"Pharmaceuticals","valueUsdBillions":3.6},{"rank":4,"label":"Turbojets & Gas Turbines","valueUsdBillions":2.4},{"rank":5,"label":"Cars","valueUsdBillions":2.4}],"selectFlorida":{"headline":"SelectFlorida Program ROI (since July 2025)","businessesServed":1463,"businessesWindow":"Since July 2025","salesGeneratedUsdMillions":486,"showResults":[{"id":"singapore-airshow-2026","show":"Singapore Airshow","window":"February 2026","reportedSalesUsdMillions":150},{"id":"mro-europe-dubai-2025","show":"MRO Europe + Dubai Air Show (combined)","window":"Fall 2025","reportedSalesUsdMillions":92}]},"bilateralTrade":{"label":"Florida Bilateral Merchandise Trade (2025)","valueUsdBillions":205,"oneYearAbsoluteUsdBillions":8.3,"oneYearPercent":4.2,"sevenYearAbsoluteUsdBillions":51.2,"sevenYearPercent":33.3},"narrative":{"headline":"Florida's export engine is firing on every cylinder - and 92% of it is built here.","whatStandsOut":["$78.9B is the largest export year in Florida history - up $6.4B (+8.9%) vs 2024 and $21.6B (+37.8%) vs 2018.","Manufactured products = 92% of all Florida-origin exports ($72.2B). Florida's manufacturing sector is the fastest-growing in the country.","3 of Florida's top 5 export markets are in LATAM (Brazil, Mexico, Colombia) - reinforcing Florida as the Americas' commercial gateway.","Civilian aircraft and parts alone shipped $12.8B - aerospace is the single biggest export category."],"watchOuts":["92% manufacturing concentration means the headline is sensitive to single-vertical shocks (aerospace cycle, pharma, telecom).","LATAM exposure (3 of top 5 markets) carries FX, political, and tariff-posture risk worth tracking quarter to quarter."],"whyItMatters":["$205B in bilateral trade through Florida seaports and airports reinforces the state's logistics-gateway position.","$1.9B in SelectFlorida-generated exports in FY24-25 (+$500M YoY) is direct, measurable ROI on Florida's trade-mission infrastructure.","A single trade show - Singapore Airshow Feb 2026 - drove $150M+ in reported sales for participating Florida companies."]}},"leading":{"headline":"Ahead of the print.","summary":"Official labor data arrives about six weeks after the fact. These signals move first: postings lead hiring, claims lead the unemployment rate, and permits lead construction payrolls.","signals":[{"id":"jobPostings","label":"Job postings index","cadence":"daily","unit":"index","trendDirection":"up_good","latest":{"date":"2026-07-31","value":104.58},"changes":{"recent":{"label":"vs 30-day average","absolute":-0.6069999999999993,"percent":-0.577067508342285},"yearOver":{"label":"vs a year earlier","absolute":-5.719999999999999,"percent":-5.185856754306436}},"leads":"Leads hiring; payroll prints follow postings by months.","source":{"label":"Indeed Hiring Lab","url":"https://github.com/hiring-lab/job_postings_tracker"},"series":[{"date":"2026-05-03","value":104.99},{"date":"2026-05-04","value":104.97},{"date":"2026-05-05","value":105.13},{"date":"2026-05-06","value":105.05},{"date":"2026-05-07","value":104.91},{"date":"2026-05-08","value":104.66},{"date":"2026-05-09","value":104.61},{"date":"2026-05-10","value":104.41},{"date":"2026-05-11","value":104.33},{"date":"2026-05-12","value":104.12},{"date":"2026-05-13","value":103.97},{"date":"2026-05-14","value":103.86},{"date":"2026-05-15","value":103.8},{"date":"2026-05-16","value":103.8},{"date":"2026-05-17","value":103.97},{"date":"2026-05-18","value":104.01},{"date":"2026-05-19","value":104.34},{"date":"2026-05-20","value":104.57},{"date":"2026-05-21","value":104.62},{"date":"2026-05-22","value":104.73},{"date":"2026-05-23","value":104.88},{"date":"2026-05-24","value":104.93},{"date":"2026-05-25","value":104.98},{"date":"2026-05-26","value":104.45},{"date":"2026-05-27","value":104.06},{"date":"2026-05-28","value":103.92},{"date":"2026-05-29","value":103.7},{"date":"2026-05-30","value":103.52},{"date":"2026-05-31","value":103.35},{"date":"2026-06-01","value":103.02},{"date":"2026-06-02","value":102.96},{"date":"2026-06-03","value":103.06},{"date":"2026-06-04","value":103.08},{"date":"2026-06-05","value":103.12},{"date":"2026-06-06","value":103.17},{"date":"2026-06-07","value":103.24},{"date":"2026-06-08","value":103.29},{"date":"2026-06-09","value":103.34},{"date":"2026-06-10","value":103.34},{"date":"2026-06-11","value":103.29},{"date":"2026-06-12","value":103.27},{"date":"2026-06-13","value":103.23},{"date":"2026-06-14","value":103.2},{"date":"2026-06-15","value":103.18},{"date":"2026-06-16","value":103.15},{"date":"2026-06-17","value":103.15},{"date":"2026-06-18","value":103.38},{"date":"2026-06-19","value":103.69},{"date":"2026-06-20","value":103.89},{"date":"2026-06-21","value":104.08},{"date":"2026-06-22","value":104.31},{"date":"2026-06-23","value":104.29},{"date":"2026-06-24","value":104.24},{"date":"2026-06-25","value":104.08},{"date":"2026-06-26","value":103.8},{"date":"2026-06-27","value":103.62},{"date":"2026-06-28","value":103.35},{"date":"2026-06-29","value":103.14},{"date":"2026-06-30","value":103.25},{"date":"2026-07-01","value":103.37},{"date":"2026-07-02","value":103.53},{"date":"2026-07-03","value":103.93},{"date":"2026-07-04","value":104.23},{"date":"2026-07-05","value":104.62},{"date":"2026-07-06","value":104.96},{"date":"2026-07-07","value":105.26},{"date":"2026-07-08","value":105.47},{"date":"2026-07-09","value":105.63},{"date":"2026-07-10","value":105.6},{"date":"2026-07-11","value":105.67},{"date":"2026-07-12","value":105.71},{"date":"2026-07-13","value":105.68},{"date":"2026-07-14","value":105.68},{"date":"2026-07-15","value":105.73},{"date":"2026-07-16","value":105.78},{"date":"2026-07-17","value":105.72},{"date":"2026-07-18","value":105.63},{"date":"2026-07-19","value":105.59},{"date":"2026-07-20","value":105.59},{"date":"2026-07-21","value":105.52},{"date":"2026-07-22","value":105.49},{"date":"2026-07-23","value":105.41},{"date":"2026-07-24","value":105.35},{"date":"2026-07-25","value":105.32},{"date":"2026-07-26","value":105.26},{"date":"2026-07-27","value":105.14},{"date":"2026-07-28","value":105.02},{"date":"2026-07-29","value":104.94},{"date":"2026-07-30","value":104.78},{"date":"2026-07-31","value":104.58}]},{"id":"initialClaims","label":"Initial unemployment claims","cadence":"weekly","unit":"claims","trendDirection":"down_good","latest":{"date":"2026-07-25","value":6003},"changes":{"recent":{"label":"vs 4-week average","absolute":27.25,"percent":0.4560097058946576},"yearOver":{"label":"vs a year earlier","absolute":-328,"percent":-5.180856104880745}},"leads":"Leads the unemployment rate by roughly six weeks.","source":{"label":"US DOL via FRED (FLICLAIMS)","url":"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FLICLAIMS"},"series":[{"date":"2024-11-09","value":6660},{"date":"2024-11-16","value":6280},{"date":"2024-11-23","value":6360},{"date":"2024-11-30","value":3987},{"date":"2024-12-07","value":6299},{"date":"2024-12-14","value":6049},{"date":"2024-12-21","value":5166},{"date":"2024-12-28","value":3475},{"date":"2025-01-04","value":5018},{"date":"2025-01-11","value":7525},{"date":"2025-01-18","value":6778},{"date":"2025-01-25","value":5747},{"date":"2025-02-01","value":5962},{"date":"2025-02-08","value":6778},{"date":"2025-02-15","value":5797},{"date":"2025-02-22","value":5913},{"date":"2025-03-01","value":5566},{"date":"2025-03-08","value":5922},{"date":"2025-03-15","value":5684},{"date":"2025-03-22","value":5614},{"date":"2025-03-29","value":5587},{"date":"2025-04-05","value":6692},{"date":"2025-04-12","value":6831},{"date":"2025-04-19","value":6060},{"date":"2025-04-26","value":5842},{"date":"2025-05-03","value":6426},{"date":"2025-05-10","value":6724},{"date":"2025-05-17","value":6177},{"date":"2025-05-24","value":7154},{"date":"2025-05-31","value":5698},{"date":"2025-06-07","value":8786},{"date":"2025-06-14","value":7612},{"date":"2025-06-21","value":6516},{"date":"2025-06-28","value":7060},{"date":"2025-07-05","value":6188},{"date":"2025-07-12","value":7335},{"date":"2025-07-19","value":6331},{"date":"2025-07-26","value":6347},{"date":"2025-08-02","value":6252},{"date":"2025-08-09","value":6448},{"date":"2025-08-16","value":6143},{"date":"2025-08-23","value":6177},{"date":"2025-08-30","value":5721},{"date":"2025-09-06","value":5803},{"date":"2025-09-13","value":6075},{"date":"2025-09-20","value":5747},{"date":"2025-09-27","value":5609},{"date":"2025-10-04","value":6075},{"date":"2025-10-11","value":6340},{"date":"2025-10-18","value":5561},{"date":"2025-10-25","value":5485},{"date":"2025-11-01","value":4952},{"date":"2025-11-08","value":5833},{"date":"2025-11-15","value":5284},{"date":"2025-11-22","value":5946},{"date":"2025-11-29","value":3761},{"date":"2025-12-06","value":6189},{"date":"2025-12-13","value":5498},{"date":"2025-12-20","value":5303},{"date":"2025-12-27","value":3322},{"date":"2026-01-03","value":4205},{"date":"2026-01-10","value":7146},{"date":"2026-01-17","value":6546},{"date":"2026-01-24","value":5744},{"date":"2026-01-31","value":5645},{"date":"2026-02-07","value":5800},{"date":"2026-02-14","value":5884},{"date":"2026-02-21","value":5608},{"date":"2026-02-28","value":5084},{"date":"2026-03-07","value":5641},{"date":"2026-03-14","value":5450},{"date":"2026-03-21","value":5398},{"date":"2026-03-28","value":5110},{"date":"2026-04-04","value":5584},{"date":"2026-04-11","value":6387},{"date":"2026-04-18","value":5659},{"date":"2026-04-25","value":5587},{"date":"2026-05-02","value":5573},{"date":"2026-05-09","value":8164},{"date":"2026-05-16","value":6224},{"date":"2026-05-23","value":5970},{"date":"2026-05-30","value":5363},{"date":"2026-06-06","value":7671},{"date":"2026-06-13","value":6943},{"date":"2026-06-20","value":6120},{"date":"2026-06-27","value":5753},{"date":"2026-07-04","value":4535},{"date":"2026-07-11","value":7334},{"date":"2026-07-18","value":6281},{"date":"2026-07-25","value":6003}]},{"id":"continuedClaims","label":"Continued unemployment claims","cadence":"weekly","unit":"claims","trendDirection":"down_good","latest":{"date":"2026-07-18","value":35702},"changes":{"recent":{"label":"vs 4-week average","absolute":2489.25,"percent":7.4948626656931445},"yearOver":{"label":"vs a year earlier","absolute":-1524,"percent":-4.0939128566055984}},"leads":"Confirms whether laid-off workers are being reabsorbed.","source":{"label":"US DOL via FRED (FLCCLAIMS)","url":"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FLCCLAIMS"},"series":[{"date":"2024-11-02","value":35382},{"date":"2024-11-09","value":35924},{"date":"2024-11-16","value":34823},{"date":"2024-11-23","value":29914},{"date":"2024-11-30","value":37097},{"date":"2024-12-07","value":31729},{"date":"2024-12-14","value":33717},{"date":"2024-12-21","value":28015},{"date":"2024-12-28","value":32276},{"date":"2025-01-04","value":30802},{"date":"2025-01-11","value":32174},{"date":"2025-01-18","value":31632},{"date":"2025-01-25","value":34072},{"date":"2025-02-01","value":31918},{"date":"2025-02-08","value":33156},{"date":"2025-02-15","value":33383},{"date":"2025-02-22","value":33348},{"date":"2025-03-01","value":32810},{"date":"2025-03-08","value":32348},{"date":"2025-03-15","value":32000},{"date":"2025-03-22","value":32388},{"date":"2025-03-29","value":31703},{"date":"2025-04-05","value":32460},{"date":"2025-04-12","value":32707},{"date":"2025-04-19","value":33697},{"date":"2025-04-26","value":33094},{"date":"2025-05-03","value":33577},{"date":"2025-05-10","value":34118},{"date":"2025-05-17","value":33980},{"date":"2025-05-24","value":33498},{"date":"2025-05-31","value":35327},{"date":"2025-06-07","value":34211},{"date":"2025-06-14","value":38342},{"date":"2025-06-21","value":36939},{"date":"2025-06-28","value":34501},{"date":"2025-07-05","value":39444},{"date":"2025-07-12","value":37226},{"date":"2025-07-19","value":38575},{"date":"2025-07-26","value":38562},{"date":"2025-08-02","value":36820},{"date":"2025-08-09","value":39467},{"date":"2025-08-16","value":37064},{"date":"2025-08-23","value":37879},{"date":"2025-08-30","value":34963},{"date":"2025-09-06","value":36011},{"date":"2025-09-13","value":34742},{"date":"2025-09-20","value":34818},{"date":"2025-09-27","value":34844},{"date":"2025-10-04","value":34286},{"date":"2025-10-11","value":33665},{"date":"2025-10-18","value":33928},{"date":"2025-10-25","value":32256},{"date":"2025-11-01","value":33057},{"date":"2025-11-08","value":30230},{"date":"2025-11-15","value":31462},{"date":"2025-11-22","value":25912},{"date":"2025-11-29","value":32604},{"date":"2025-12-06","value":27163},{"date":"2025-12-13","value":30700},{"date":"2025-12-20","value":24469},{"date":"2025-12-27","value":29468},{"date":"2026-01-03","value":28675},{"date":"2026-01-10","value":28776},{"date":"2026-01-17","value":28900},{"date":"2026-01-24","value":30577},{"date":"2026-01-31","value":29112},{"date":"2026-02-07","value":29684},{"date":"2026-02-14","value":28962},{"date":"2026-02-21","value":29449},{"date":"2026-02-28","value":29320},{"date":"2026-03-07","value":29142},{"date":"2026-03-14","value":29915},{"date":"2026-03-21","value":29493},{"date":"2026-03-28","value":30039},{"date":"2026-04-04","value":29169},{"date":"2026-04-11","value":29996},{"date":"2026-04-18","value":30320},{"date":"2026-04-25","value":30105},{"date":"2026-05-02","value":29576},{"date":"2026-05-09","value":30226},{"date":"2026-05-16","value":33123},{"date":"2026-05-23","value":30822},{"date":"2026-05-30","value":33314},{"date":"2026-06-06","value":31745},{"date":"2026-06-13","value":35383},{"date":"2026-06-20","value":33647},{"date":"2026-06-27","value":29218},{"date":"2026-07-04","value":37623},{"date":"2026-07-11","value":32363},{"date":"2026-07-18","value":35702}]},{"id":"buildingPermits","label":"Building permits (units)","cadence":"monthly","unit":"units","trendDirection":"up_good","latest":{"date":"2026-06-01","value":13629},"changes":{"recent":{"label":"vs 3-month average","absolute":262.33333333333394,"percent":1.962593516209481},"yearOver":{"label":"vs a year earlier","absolute":-5909,"percent":-30.243627802231547}},"leads":"Leads construction employment and the housing supply pipeline.","source":{"label":"US Census via FRED (FLBPPRIV)","url":"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FLBPPRIV"},"series":[{"date":"2019-01-01","value":11190},{"date":"2019-02-01","value":11099},{"date":"2019-03-01","value":11661},{"date":"2019-04-01","value":14518},{"date":"2019-05-01","value":12393},{"date":"2019-06-01","value":10983},{"date":"2019-07-01","value":13109},{"date":"2019-08-01","value":15187},{"date":"2019-09-01","value":15067},{"date":"2019-10-01","value":15381},{"date":"2019-11-01","value":10374},{"date":"2019-12-01","value":12079},{"date":"2020-01-01","value":14395},{"date":"2020-02-01","value":12111},{"date":"2020-03-01","value":13674},{"date":"2020-04-01","value":12223},{"date":"2020-05-01","value":11776},{"date":"2020-06-01","value":12709},{"date":"2020-07-01","value":13053},{"date":"2020-08-01","value":15378},{"date":"2020-09-01","value":14408},{"date":"2020-10-01","value":15768},{"date":"2020-11-01","value":11634},{"date":"2020-12-01","value":14402},{"date":"2021-01-01","value":15788},{"date":"2021-02-01","value":12866},{"date":"2021-03-01","value":17512},{"date":"2021-04-01","value":19625},{"date":"2021-05-01","value":17754},{"date":"2021-06-01","value":19447},{"date":"2021-07-01","value":17750},{"date":"2021-08-01","value":22629},{"date":"2021-09-01","value":17123},{"date":"2021-10-01","value":16212},{"date":"2021-11-01","value":14873},{"date":"2021-12-01","value":17640},{"date":"2022-01-01","value":17533},{"date":"2022-02-01","value":16284},{"date":"2022-03-01","value":19387},{"date":"2022-04-01","value":20051},{"date":"2022-05-01","value":20152},{"date":"2022-06-01","value":20160},{"date":"2022-07-01","value":15502},{"date":"2022-08-01","value":16834},{"date":"2022-09-01","value":17199},{"date":"2022-10-01","value":15337},{"date":"2022-11-01","value":12504},{"date":"2022-12-01","value":14958},{"date":"2023-01-01","value":14964},{"date":"2023-02-01","value":16279},{"date":"2023-03-01","value":18743},{"date":"2023-04-01","value":14957},{"date":"2023-05-01","value":15062},{"date":"2023-06-01","value":18825},{"date":"2023-07-01","value":15574},{"date":"2023-08-01","value":17996},{"date":"2023-09-01","value":15871},{"date":"2023-10-01","value":14930},{"date":"2023-11-01","value":12776},{"date":"2023-12-01","value":14796},{"date":"2024-01-01","value":16132},{"date":"2024-02-01","value":13285},{"date":"2024-03-01","value":14849},{"date":"2024-04-01","value":17901},{"date":"2024-05-01","value":17110},{"date":"2024-06-01","value":15739},{"date":"2024-07-01","value":15414},{"date":"2024-08-01","value":15666},{"date":"2024-09-01","value":12380},{"date":"2024-10-01","value":13302},{"date":"2024-11-01","value":10760},{"date":"2024-12-01","value":11954},{"date":"2025-01-01","value":16872},{"date":"2025-02-01","value":14857},{"date":"2025-03-01","value":14771},{"date":"2025-04-01","value":13851},{"date":"2025-05-01","value":14564},{"date":"2025-06-01","value":19538},{"date":"2025-07-01","value":14661},{"date":"2025-08-01","value":13594},{"date":"2025-09-01","value":13353},{"date":"2025-10-01","value":15200},{"date":"2025-11-01","value":9652},{"date":"2025-12-01","value":13220},{"date":"2026-01-01","value":11132},{"date":"2026-02-01","value":12080},{"date":"2026-03-01","value":12449},{"date":"2026-04-01","value":14596},{"date":"2026-05-01","value":13055},{"date":"2026-06-01","value":13629}]}]},"benchmarks":{"headline":"The cost of operating, against the same eight states.","summary":"Site decisions come down to operating math. Average weekly wages show what labor costs across the peer set; industrial power prices show what the capex-heavy projects will pay to run.","wages":{"period":"2025 Q4","rows":[{"stateId":"UT","name":"Utah","avgWeeklyWage":1389,"yoyPercent":4.1},{"stateId":"NC","name":"North Carolina","avgWeeklyWage":1409,"yoyPercent":3.8},{"stateId":"TN","name":"Tennessee","avgWeeklyWage":1424,"yoyPercent":3.8},{"stateId":"GA","name":"Georgia","avgWeeklyWage":1440,"yoyPercent":3.5},{"stateId":"AZ","name":"Arizona","avgWeeklyWage":1446,"yoyPercent":3},{"stateId":"FL","name":"Florida","avgWeeklyWage":1471,"yoyPercent":4.8},{"stateId":"TX","name":"Texas","avgWeeklyWage":1549,"yoyPercent":4.2},{"stateId":"CA","name":"California","avgWeeklyWage":1954,"yoyPercent":4.6}],"source":{"label":"BLS QCEW, total covered employment","url":"https://www.bls.gov/cew/"}},"power":{"rows":[{"stateId":"TX","name":"Texas","industrialCentsPerKwh":6.33,"period":"2026-05"},{"stateId":"TN","name":"Tennessee","industrialCentsPerKwh":6.45,"period":"2026-05"},{"stateId":"GA","name":"Georgia","industrialCentsPerKwh":7.04,"period":"2026-05"},{"stateId":"AZ","name":"Arizona","industrialCentsPerKwh":7.54,"period":"2026-05"},{"stateId":"NC","name":"North Carolina","industrialCentsPerKwh":7.78,"period":"2026-05"},{"stateId":"UT","name":"Utah","industrialCentsPerKwh":8.1,"period":"2026-05"},{"stateId":"FL","name":"Florida","industrialCentsPerKwh":8.99,"period":"2026-05"},{"stateId":"CA","name":"California","industrialCentsPerKwh":20.2,"period":"2026-05"}],"source":{"label":"EIA electricity retail sales","url":"https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data.php"}}},"talent":{"headline":"Can Florida staff the economy it is trying to build?","summary":"Talent Match connects one representative high-value occupation in each strategic cluster to the closest Florida public-university bachelor's pipeline, its first-year employment outcomes, and the named projects already creating delivery pressure.","coverageNote":"This is a directional coverage proxy, not a labor-shortage forecast. Each pathway compares one representative occupation with one public-university bachelor's program. It excludes state-college, private, certificate, graduate, migration, promotion, and adjacent-occupation supply.","methodology":["Demand uses Florida 2022-32 long-term occupational projections published through O*NET OnLine from Projections Central; openings include growth and replacement.","Pipeline outcomes use FETPIP's 2023-24 Florida public-university graduate report and the report's Florida employment matches.","The coverage proxy divides covered bachelor's graduates by projected annual openings. It sizes a visible pipeline; it does not label a shortage or surplus.","Institution leaders are the three largest disclosed producers in the selected FETPIP program; suppressed values remain unavailable.","Project pressure links only to named records in the Floridanomics project capex ledger and is not a complete hiring forecast."],"sources":[{"id":"fetpip_2324_program_outcomes","label":"FETPIP 2023-24 graduate outcomes by program","url":"https://www.fldoe.org/file/7592/2324SUS-PgmsByDegBySchl.pdf","note":"Florida public-university graduates, Florida employment matches, full-time employment, wages, and continuing education by CIP program."},{"id":"florida_cip_soc_crosswalk","label":"Florida DOE CIP-to-SOC program resources","url":"https://www.fldoe.org/academics/career-adult-edu/career-tech-edu/program-resources.stml","note":"Florida's official program-to-occupation crosswalk resources and Master Credential List."},{"id":"onet_software_developers_fl","label":"O*NET Florida trends: Software Developers","url":"https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/15-1252.00?st=FL","note":"Florida 2022-32 employment projection and annual openings for Software Developers."},{"id":"onet_aerospace_engineers_fl","label":"O*NET Florida trends: Aerospace Engineers","url":"https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/17-2011.00?st=FL","note":"Florida 2022-32 employment projection and annual openings for Aerospace Engineers."},{"id":"onet_electrical_engineers_fl","label":"O*NET Florida trends: Electrical Engineers","url":"https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/17-2071.00?st=FL","note":"Florida 2022-32 employment projection and annual openings for Electrical Engineers."},{"id":"onet_registered_nurses_fl","label":"O*NET Florida trends: Registered Nurses","url":"https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/29-1141.00?st=FL","note":"Florida 2022-32 employment projection and annual openings for Registered Nurses."},{"id":"onet_logisticians_fl","label":"O*NET Florida trends: Logisticians","url":"https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/13-1081.00?st=FL","note":"Florida 2022-32 employment projection and annual openings for Logisticians."},{"id":"onet_financial_analysts_fl","label":"O*NET Florida trends: Financial and Investment Analysts","url":"https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/13-2051.00?st=FL","note":"Florida 2022-32 employment projection and annual openings for Financial Analysts."},{"id":"onet_biomedical_engineers_fl","label":"O*NET Florida trends: Bioengineers and Biomedical Engineers","url":"https://www.onetonline.org/link/localtrends/17-2031.00?st=FL","note":"Florida 2022-32 employment projection and annual openings for Biomedical Engineers."}],"clusters":[{"id":"ai-software","label":"AI & Software","shortLabel":"AI / software","question":"Is Florida's computing pipeline scaling as fast as software demand?","read":"The visible bachelor's pipeline covers less than one-third of projected Software Developer openings. That is not a shortage count, but it makes retention and adjacent credentials strategically important.","demand":{"occupation":"Software Developers","soc":"15-1252","baseYear":2022,"projectedYear":2032,"baseEmployment":75620,"projectedEmployment":101940,"growthPercent":35,"annualOpenings":7330},"pipeline":{"program":"Computer and Information Sciences, General","cip":"110101","credential":"Bachelor's degree","academicYear":"2023-24","graduates":2262,"employed":1137,"employedPercent":50,"fullTimeEmployed":912,"fullTimePercent":40,"averageAnnualWageUsd":72268,"continuingEducation":244,"continuingEducationPercent":11},"institutions":[{"name":"Florida International University","region":"South Florida","graduates":638,"employedPercent":57,"fullTimePercent":45,"averageAnnualWageUsd":69149},{"name":"University of Florida","region":"North Florida","graduates":537,"employedPercent":38,"fullTimePercent":32,"averageAnnualWageUsd":78042},{"name":"University of Central Florida","region":"Central Florida","graduates":496,"employedPercent":56,"fullTimePercent":44,"averageAnnualWageUsd":77921}],"projectIds":[],"sourceIds":["fetpip_2324_program_outcomes","florida_cip_soc_crosswalk","onet_software_developers_fl"]},{"id":"aerospace-space","label":"Aerospace & Space","shortLabel":"Aerospace","question":"Can the Space Coast convert a strong degree pipeline into project delivery?","read":"Aerospace engineering output is roughly the scale of annual openings, but FETPIP finds only 41% of graduates in full-time Florida employment in the first follow-up window. Retention is the operating question.","demand":{"occupation":"Aerospace Engineers","soc":"17-2011","baseYear":2022,"projectedYear":2032,"baseEmployment":4720,"projectedEmployment":5670,"growthPercent":20,"annualOpenings":360},"pipeline":{"program":"Aerospace, Aeronautical and Astronautical Engineering","cip":"140201","credential":"Bachelor's degree","academicYear":"2023-24","graduates":367,"employed":189,"employedPercent":51,"fullTimeEmployed":152,"fullTimePercent":41,"averageAnnualWageUsd":73074,"continuingEducation":74,"continuingEducationPercent":20},"institutions":[{"name":"University of Central Florida","region":"Central Florida","graduates":226,"employedPercent":59,"fullTimePercent":46,"averageAnnualWageUsd":71214},{"name":"University of Florida","region":"North Florida","graduates":141,"employedPercent":39,"fullTimePercent":33,"averageAnnualWageUsd":77227}],"projectIds":["blue-origin-project-horizon","amazon-leo-processing","amazon-leo-expansion","aura-aero-daytona","blue-origin-lunar-production","boeing-embry-riddle-center","spacex-gigabay-starship","williams-international-okaloosa"],"sourceIds":["fetpip_2324_program_outcomes","florida_cip_soc_crosswalk","onet_aerospace_engineers_fl"]},{"id":"semiconductors-electronics","label":"Semiconductors & Electronics","shortLabel":"Electronics","question":"Does Florida have the engineering bench for a larger semiconductor lane?","read":"Electrical engineering output is broad relative to one representative occupation, but only 53% of graduates appear in full-time Florida employment. The next proof point is employer conversion, not simply more degrees.","demand":{"occupation":"Electrical Engineers","soc":"17-2071","baseYear":2022,"projectedYear":2032,"baseEmployment":7260,"projectedEmployment":8130,"growthPercent":12,"annualOpenings":490},"pipeline":{"program":"Electrical and Electronics Engineering","cip":"141001","credential":"Bachelor's degree","academicYear":"2023-24","graduates":552,"employed":325,"employedPercent":59,"fullTimeEmployed":295,"fullTimePercent":53,"averageAnnualWageUsd":79690,"continuingEducation":71,"continuingEducationPercent":13},"institutions":[{"name":"University of Central Florida","region":"Central Florida","graduates":138,"employedPercent":67,"fullTimePercent":62,"averageAnnualWageUsd":80619},{"name":"University of Florida","region":"North Florida","graduates":111,"employedPercent":38,"fullTimePercent":32,"averageAnnualWageUsd":82446},{"name":"Florida International University","region":"South Florida","graduates":88,"employedPercent":56,"fullTimePercent":49,"averageAnnualWageUsd":86847}],"projectIds":[],"sourceIds":["fetpip_2324_program_outcomes","florida_cip_soc_crosswalk","onet_electrical_engineers_fl"]},{"id":"healthcare","label":"Healthcare","shortLabel":"Healthcare","question":"Can Florida's nursing pipeline keep pace with a growing and aging state?","read":"Registered Nursing has the largest covered pipeline and the strongest first-year placement, yet it reaches only one-fifth of projected annual RN openings. State-college and private-program supply matter here and are intentionally outside this first view.","demand":{"occupation":"Registered Nurses","soc":"29-1141","baseYear":2022,"projectedYear":2032,"baseEmployment":202780,"projectedEmployment":228070,"growthPercent":13,"annualOpenings":14110},"pipeline":{"program":"Registered Nursing/Registered Nurse","cip":"513801","credential":"Bachelor's degree","academicYear":"2023-24","graduates":2815,"employed":2328,"employedPercent":83,"fullTimeEmployed":2192,"fullTimePercent":78,"averageAnnualWageUsd":75598,"continuingEducation":189,"continuingEducationPercent":7},"institutions":[{"name":"University of Central Florida","region":"Central Florida","graduates":707,"employedPercent":89,"fullTimePercent":85,"averageAnnualWageUsd":75166},{"name":"University of South Florida","region":"Southwest Florida","graduates":346,"employedPercent":82,"fullTimePercent":80,"averageAnnualWageUsd":77251},{"name":"University of West Florida","region":"North Florida","graduates":311,"employedPercent":72,"fullTimePercent":68,"averageAnnualWageUsd":79698}],"projectIds":[],"sourceIds":["fetpip_2324_program_outcomes","florida_cip_soc_crosswalk","onet_registered_nurses_fl"]},{"id":"logistics","label":"Logistics & Supply Chain","shortLabel":"Logistics","question":"Is Florida producing enough logistics talent to match its gateway advantage?","read":"The covered logistics bachelor's pipeline is small against projected openings even as the occupation grows 31%. This is the clearest case for expanding the view into state colleges, certificates, and employer-linked credentials.","demand":{"occupation":"Logisticians","soc":"13-1081","baseYear":2022,"projectedYear":2032,"baseEmployment":12590,"projectedEmployment":16520,"growthPercent":31,"annualOpenings":1540},"pipeline":{"program":"Logistics, Materials and Supply Chain Management","cip":"520203","credential":"Bachelor's degree","academicYear":"2023-24","graduates":152,"employed":98,"employedPercent":64,"fullTimeEmployed":85,"fullTimePercent":56,"averageAnnualWageUsd":65130,"continuingEducation":13,"continuingEducationPercent":9},"institutions":[{"name":"Florida International University","region":"South Florida","graduates":61,"employedPercent":66,"fullTimePercent":54,"averageAnnualWageUsd":66224},{"name":"University of North Florida","region":"North Florida","graduates":38,"employedPercent":68,"fullTimePercent":55,"averageAnnualWageUsd":59113},{"name":"University of West Florida","region":"North Florida","graduates":19,"employedPercent":null,"fullTimePercent":null,"averageAnnualWageUsd":null}],"projectIds":[],"sourceIds":["fetpip_2324_program_outcomes","florida_cip_soc_crosswalk","onet_logisticians_fl"]},{"id":"fintech-finance","label":"Fintech & Finance","shortLabel":"Fintech","question":"Can Florida turn a large finance pipeline into higher-value financial technology work?","read":"Finance produces a large bachelor's class, but the first-year full-time Florida wage trails engineering pathways. The strategic move is specialization into analytics, risk, payments, and software-enabled finance.","demand":{"occupation":"Financial and Investment Analysts","soc":"13-2051","baseYear":2022,"projectedYear":2032,"baseEmployment":15980,"projectedEmployment":18310,"growthPercent":15,"annualOpenings":1310},"pipeline":{"program":"Finance, General","cip":"520801","credential":"Bachelor's degree","academicYear":"2023-24","graduates":2622,"employed":1661,"employedPercent":63,"fullTimeEmployed":1396,"fullTimePercent":53,"averageAnnualWageUsd":61535,"continuingEducation":338,"continuingEducationPercent":13},"institutions":[{"name":"Florida State University","region":"North Florida","graduates":657,"employedPercent":54,"fullTimePercent":40,"averageAnnualWageUsd":60848},{"name":"Florida International University","region":"South Florida","graduates":488,"employedPercent":66,"fullTimePercent":59,"averageAnnualWageUsd":65005},{"name":"University of Central Florida","region":"Central Florida","graduates":369,"employedPercent":70,"fullTimePercent":63,"averageAnnualWageUsd":60139}],"projectIds":[],"sourceIds":["fetpip_2324_program_outcomes","florida_cip_soc_crosswalk","onet_financial_analysts_fl"]},{"id":"life-sciences","label":"Life Sciences","shortLabel":"Life sciences","question":"Can Florida convert biomedical graduates into an investable life-sciences cluster?","read":"Biomedical engineering output is broad relative to one narrow occupation, but only 34% of graduates appear in full-time Florida employment. Competitor projects show why commercialization and employer density matter as much as degree volume.","demand":{"occupation":"Bioengineers and Biomedical Engineers","soc":"17-2031","baseYear":2022,"projectedYear":2032,"baseEmployment":930,"projectedEmployment":1050,"growthPercent":13,"annualOpenings":70},"pipeline":{"program":"Bioengineering and Biomedical Engineering","cip":"140501","credential":"Bachelor's degree","academicYear":"2023-24","graduates":258,"employed":119,"employedPercent":46,"fullTimeEmployed":87,"fullTimePercent":34,"averageAnnualWageUsd":64595,"continuingEducation":65,"continuingEducationPercent":25},"institutions":[{"name":"University of Florida","region":"North Florida","graduates":100,"employedPercent":33,"fullTimePercent":24,"averageAnnualWageUsd":59786},{"name":"Florida International University","region":"South Florida","graduates":76,"employedPercent":59,"fullTimePercent":47,"averageAnnualWageUsd":62479},{"name":"Florida State University","region":"North Florida","graduates":41,"employedPercent":51,"fullTimePercent":34,"averageAnnualWageUsd":75545}],"projectIds":["abbvie-durham-campus","ucb-rowen-biologics"],"sourceIds":["fetpip_2324_program_outcomes","florida_cip_soc_crosswalk","onet_biomedical_engineers_fl"]}]},"trust":{"methodologyVersion":"2026-07-29","metricVintages":[{"metricId":"unemploymentRate","label":"Unemployment Rate","observationDate":"2026-06-01","observationPeriod":"June 2026","releaseDate":"2026-07-17","nextExpectedRelease":"2026-08-21","revisionStatus":"Preliminary monthly estimate; subject to BLS monthly and annual benchmark revisions.","sourceClass":"official_data","sourceLabel":"FloridaCommerce WSER / BLS","sourceUrl":"https://lmsresources.labormarketinfo.com/library/press/release.pdf"},{"metricId":"laborForce","label":"Labor Force","observationDate":"2026-06-01","observationPeriod":"June 2026","releaseDate":"2026-07-17","nextExpectedRelease":"2026-08-21","revisionStatus":"Preliminary monthly estimate; subject to BLS monthly and annual benchmark revisions.","sourceClass":"official_data","sourceLabel":"FloridaCommerce WSER / BLS","sourceUrl":"https://lmsresources.labormarketinfo.com/library/press/release.pdf"},{"metricId":"employmentLevel","label":"Employment Level","observationDate":"2026-06-01","observationPeriod":"June 2026","releaseDate":"2026-07-17","nextExpectedRelease":"2026-08-21","revisionStatus":"Preliminary monthly estimate; subject to BLS monthly and annual benchmark revisions.","sourceClass":"official_data","sourceLabel":"FloridaCommerce WSER / BLS","sourceUrl":"https://lmsresources.labormarketinfo.com/library/press/release.pdf"},{"metricId":"nonfarmPayrolls","label":"Nonfarm Payrolls","observationDate":"2026-06-01","observationPeriod":"June 2026","releaseDate":"2026-07-17","nextExpectedRelease":"2026-08-21","revisionStatus":"Preliminary monthly estimate; subject to BLS monthly and annual benchmark revisions.","sourceClass":"official_data","sourceLabel":"FloridaCommerce WSER / BLS","sourceUrl":"https://lmsresources.labormarketinfo.com/library/press/release.pdf"},{"metricId":"population","label":"Population","observationDate":"2025-01-01","observationPeriod":"2025","releaseDate":null,"nextExpectedRelease":null,"revisionStatus":"Annual Census estimate; prior vintages may be revised when a new estimate series is published.","sourceClass":"official_data","sourceLabel":"U.S. Census Bureau via FRED","sourceUrl":"https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FLPOP"}],"releaseCalendar":[{"id":"florida-labor","label":"Florida employment and unemployment","cadence":"monthly","latestPeriod":"June 2026","latestReleaseDate":"2026-07-17","nextExpectedRelease":"2026-08-21","sourceLabel":"FloridaCommerce monthly data releases","sourceUrl":"https://floridajobs.org/economic-data/monthly-data-releases","note":"LAUS and CES headline metrics. A scheduled release date can move; Floridanomics confirms the new period before publishing."},{"id":"florida-population","label":"Florida population estimate","cadence":"annual","latestPeriod":"2025","latestReleaseDate":null,"nextExpectedRelease":null,"sourceLabel":"U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates","sourceUrl":"https://www.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest.html","note":"Annual estimate with vintage revisions; Floridanomics does not infer an exact next publication date."}],"sourceClasses":[{"id":"official_data","label":"Official data","description":"Statistical releases, APIs, tables, and administrative records published by public agencies."},{"id":"official_announcement","label":"Official announcement","description":"Government or public-authority releases describing laws, awards, projects, or agency actions."},{"id":"industry_research","label":"Industry research","description":"Company disclosures, trade research, market reports, and reporting outside government statistics."},{"id":"advocacy_analysis","label":"Advocacy and analysis","description":"Chamber, think-tank, nonprofit, and policy-organization analysis with an institutional point of view."},{"id":"editorial_inference","label":"Editorial inference","description":"Floridanomics interpretation assembled from cited evidence; it is analysis, not an official statistic."}],"correctionPolicy":{"reviewedAt":"2026-07-29","contact":"info@floridanomics.com","commitment":"Material errors are corrected promptly, the affected claim is re-sourced, and a dated correction note is retained with the product record."}}}